World Cup: South America

Colombia won the key match away against Ecuador. Colombia now have a predicted chance of 97% (+13) to qualify, while Ecuador are in trouble (12%, -15) having Brazil, Chile, Argentina, and Peru left to play.

Group	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Brazil	14	+25	33	40.0	100%	100%
Colombia	14	+3	24	31.3	98.2%	97.3%
Uruguay	14	+9	23	29.9	97.2%	95.0%
Argentina	14	+1	22	30.8	96.5%	96.2%
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Chile	14	+2	21	29.5	93.2%	92.4%
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Ecuador	14	+3	20	24.0	12.5%	11.5%
Paraguay	14	-8	18	21.8	2.0%	1.6%
Peru	14	-6	15	20.2	0.48%	0.43%
Bolivia	14	-12	14	15.7	0.00%	0.00%
Venezuela	14	-17	6	9.1	-