Arsenal increased their chances for top 4 position (+11) as they were they only team that managed to win. Liverpool have 6 points more than Arsenal but two more played matches. Looking at the average points in simulations
Liverpool still have 3.5 points (-2.5) margin down to Arsenal in expected points, reflecting that Liverpool's schedule looks easier.
Expected Outcome | |||||
Team | Points | Expected +/- | Champ% | Top4% | |
Chelsea | 88.1 | 79-32 | 94.8 | 100 | |
Tottenham | 79.7 | 75-31 | 5.14 | 98.7 | |
Man City | 73.8 | 73-42 | 0.0651 | 77.3 | |
Liverpool | 73 | 79-47 | 0.0288 | 73.7 | |
Arsenal | 69.4 | 77-47 | 0.0049 | 30.3 | |
Man United | 68.5 | 58-36 | 0.0026 | 19.4 | |
Everton | 62.1 | 64-43 | 0 | 0.54 |
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