PL: Tottenham beat Arsenal in North London Derby

Chelsea won easily against their biggest hurdle, Everton, and now have a relatively easy schedule compared with Tottenham and have a predicted chance of 96.5%. 

Tottenham won North London Derby and virtually secured a top 4 spot. To miss it they need to lose remaining matches, while Man City, Liverpool and Man United win remaining matches plus that Man United catch up 23 goal difference. The chance that happens is smaller than microscopic. Arsenal's chance to catch up on the top 4 is becoming slim (8%).

Liverpool won while Manchester teams drew giving Liverpool some air. United have a tougher schedule including a match against Tottenham, which gives Man City the upper hand (83%).

Expected Outcome
Team	Points	Expected +/-	Champ%	Top4%
Chelsea	90.2	82-32	96.5	100
Tottenham	83.5	77-27	3.52	100
Liverpool	75	77-45	0	89.3
Man City	74.3	73-41	0	82.5
Man United	71	57-30	0	20.1
Arsenal	68.8	73-48	0	8.01
Everton	62.5	65-44	0	0.0005

Points	Chelsea		Tottenham		Liverpool		Man City		Man United		Arsenal		Everton
93	24.9	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	23.8	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	20.4	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	7.8	100	4.79	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	12.3	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	5.69	100	9.7	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	2.41	100	12.4	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	1.81	100	7.3	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	0.556	100	18.5	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	0.157	100	14.2	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	0.0718	100	9.17	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	0.0135	100	11.8	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	-	-	6.26	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	-	-	2.78	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	-	-	2.32	100	20.3	100	15.3	100	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	-	-	0.716	100	-	-	-	-	2.52	97	-	-	-	-
76	-	-	-	-	22	99.3	19.6	99.2	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	-	-	-	-	23.3	96.9	17.9	97.1	6.07	72.6	3.16	75.1	-	-
74	-	-	-	-	7.25	91.7	9.09	91	10.7	55.7	-	-	-	-
73	-	-	-	-	14.6	79.8	16.6	78.8	5.29	39.1	7.35	39.3	-	-
72	-	-	-	-	7.82	62.3	9.24	62.9	18.2	18.5	9.25	18.3	-	-
71	-	-	-	-	2.18	42.2	4.97	41.8	17.2	7.98	6.63	8.34	-	-
70	-	-	-	-	1.96	23.4	4.54	23.6	9.17	3.58	16.4	2.6	-	-
69	-	-	-	-	0.585	10.2	1.79	11.2	15.1	0.73	13	0.527	-	-
68	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.647	3.89	9.07	0.116	10.5	0.0934	-	-
67	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.363	1.02	2.97	0.0202	13.4	0.012	6.24	0.00802
66	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.0803	0.374	2.76	0	7.92	0.00126	-	-