PL: Tottenham lost against West Ham

Tottenham lost against and also lost a fair chance on the league title. They are now predicted a 3/400 chance. The most likely path to premiership for tottenham goes via winning the remaining three matches (10%) and Chelsea taking less than 6 points in remaining four matches (5%).

Liverpool drew Southampton and thereby lost the chance to catch up on Liverpool (Spurs has secured a top 3 qualification to CL group stage). Liverpool still got 86% chance to end top 4 and their main challenger now is Arsenal after their win against Man United. Liverpool are still expected to end with four points more than Arsenal. Liverpool need two win both remaining matches (33%) to be certain to end top 4; take at least 4 points (47%) to be more than 90% certain, and take at least 2 points (89%) to have more than 50% chance to end top 4. Likewise, Arsenal need to win their three remaining matches (7%) to have a decent, more than 50% chance.

Expected Outcome
Team	Points	Expected +/-	Champ%	Top4%
Chelsea	90.2	82-32	99.3	100
Tottenham	81.9	76-26	0.724	100
Man City	75	76-40	0	93.3
Liverpool	73.9	75-44	0	85.7
Arsenal	70.1	73-46	0	13.2
Man United	69.9	56-31	0	7.8