World Cup: Europe

In Group A, Sweden won against France making a tight race between three countries. France are the favourites, while Sweden now is the favourite to snatch the second spot. France and Netherlands will play on 31 August in an important match.

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
99%	93%	76%	France	-	Netherlands	17.1%	30%	59%	142.93

Group A	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Sweden	6	+8	13	19.4	61.0%	32.6%
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France	6	+6	13	22.8	95.9%	92.3%
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Netherlands	6	+7	10	17.9	37.5%	29.3%
Bulgaria	6	-3	9	13.2	1.1%	0.35%
Belarus	6	-7	5	9.3	0.03%	0.01%
Luxembourg	6	-11	1	2.5	-

Group B is between Switzerland and Portugal. Both countries won their matches. Portugal and Switzerland will play in the round in October.

Group B	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Switzerland	6	+9	18	25.6	99.99%	75.3%
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Portugal	6	+19	15	24.9	99.99%	89.0%
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Hungary	6	+1	7	13.9	0.02%	0.01%
Faroe Islands	6	-8	5	8.6	-
Andorra	6	-11	4	4.6	-
Latvia	6	-10	3	8.9	-

Group C is more or less already won by Germany, and Northern Ireland and Czechia are fighting about the playoff spot. Northern Ireland won against Azerbaijan, while Czechia only drew against Norway.

Group C	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Germany	6	+26	18	27.7	99.99%	99.9%
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Northern Irela	6	+9	13	19.0	68.3%	18.8%
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Czechia	6	+4	9	16.1	17.6%	6.5%
Azerbaijan	6	-6	7	11.1	0.02%	0.00%
Norway	6	-4	4	11.1	0.01%	0.00%
San Marino	6	-29	0	0.4	-

In group D all countries drew, so not much changed. In next round Ireland will host Serbia in a group final

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
80%	45%	23.7%	Ireland	-	Serbia	34.0%	63%	90%	256.592

Group D	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Serbia	6	+6	12	19.1	72.2%	54.4%
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Ireland	6	+4	12	19.4	72.7%	58.5%
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Wales	6	+4	8	16.0	26.9%	17.0%
Austria	6	+1	8	15.1	11.9%	6.4%
Georgia	6	-4	3	5.6	0.00%	0.00%
Moldova	6	-11	2	3.6	0.00%	0.00%

Poland almost secured group victory with their win against Romania. Montenegro and Denmark are fighting about the second spot with Romania as dark horse.

Group E	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Poland	6	+8	16	24.4	99%	99%
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Montenegro	6	+7	10	14.1	14.0%	3.0%
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Denmark	6	+4	10	16.7	39.3%	18.1%
Romania	6	0	6	13.4	10.8%	4.2%
Armenia	6	-7	6	9.7	0.16%	0.03%
Kazakhstan	6	-12	2	5.3	0.00%	0.00%

Group F

England managed to squeeze in a late equalizer in Battle of Britain against Scotland. They are the favourites to win the group in a tight group.

Group F	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
England	5	+8	13	24.6	99%	97.4%
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Slovakia	5	+7	9	17.9	55.1%	27.5%
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Slovenia	5	+1	8	15.3	11.9%	3.4%
Scotland	5	-1	7	15.6	16.9%	6.9%
Lithuania	5	-4	5	9.4	0.16%	0.02%
Malta	5	-11	0	1.7	-

Group of Giants is only about Spain and Italy. Both won comfortably and will go up against each other in the next round on 2 September.

Group G	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Spain	5	+17	13	24.8	99%	89.5%
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Italy	5	+9	13	24.5	99%	85.4%
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Israel	5	0	9	15.7	1.5%	0.41%
Albania	5	-4	6	12.8	0.12%	0.04%
Macedonia	5	-4	3	7.6	0.00%	0.00%
Liechtenstein	5	-18	0	1.4	-

Belgium remains favourites while Greece and Bosnia and Herzegovina fight about the second spot. They will play in the next round, which will very well be the decider.

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
44.9%	25%	9.2%	Bosnia and Herzegovina	-	Greece	7.0%	18.1%	35%	101.092

Group H	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Belgium	5	+20	13	24.4	96.8%	92.2%
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Greece	5	+7	11	19.2	36.1%	13.5%
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Bosnia and Her	5	+8	10	20.3	65.2%	35.5%
Cyprus	5	-5	4	8.9	0.01%	0.00%
Estonia	5	-10	4	10.0	0.06%	0.01%
Gibraltar	5	-20	0	1.7	-

In Group I, Croatia and Iceland will play in next round. If Croatia win, they will most likely win the group.

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
44%	20.9%	12.4%	Iceland	-	Croatia	73%	89%	97%	118.548

Group I	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Croatia	5	+10	13	22.2	93.0%	86.5%
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Iceland	5	+2	10	18.1	44.7%	26.1%
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Ukraine	5	+3	8	15.5	18.2%	9.9%
Turkey	5	+2	8	17.0	33.4%	21.6%
Finland	5	-5	1	6.3	0.01%	0.00%
Kosovo	5	-12	1	3.9	0.00%	0.00%