World Cup: Africa

Group A	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	World Cup
Tunisia	4	+4	10	13.1	82.3%
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Democratic Rep	4	+4	7	10.0	17.7%
Guinea	4	-3	3	5.6	-
Libya	4	-5	3	5.3	-

Tunisia won the group final against DR Congo and now have more than 80% chance to win the group.

Group B	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	World Cup
Nigeria	4	+7	10	13.2	94.1%
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Zambia	4	+2	7	8.8	5.9%
Cameroon	4	-4	3	6.2	-
Algeria	4	-5	1	4.0	-

Nigeria drew Algeria while Zambia won against Cameroon, which means Zambia still have a chance to qualify (6%). In October Nigeria play Zambia, which might decide the group

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
100%	98.3%	60.0%	Nigeria	-	Zambia	0.00%	1.7%	40.0%	164.741

Group C	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	World Cup
Ivory Coast	4	+4	7	10.8	75.7%
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Morocco	4	+6	6	8.7	20.8%
Gabon	4	-2	5	7.0	3.5%
Mali	4	-8	2	4.6	0.00%

Gabon took their last chance and won against Ivory Coast, while Morocco won as expected against Mali. The group is tighter than before, but Ivory Coast are still the favourite to win the group.

Group D	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	World Cup
Burkina Faso	4	+2	6	8.2	26.9%
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Cape Verde	4	-2	6	8.3	22.2%
Senegal	4	+1	5	8.6	38.0%
South Africa	4	-1	4	7.0	12.9%

Cape Verde won against South Africa, while Burkina Faso and Senegal drew turning this into the tightest group in Africa. In next round we will have the following matches, all key matches now.

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
50.0%	27.6%	1.4%	Cape Verde	-	Senegal	0.00%	24.4%	69.5%	433.16
19.9%	0.4%	0.00%	South Africa	-	Burkina Faso	14.7%	35.9%	65.2%	173.718

Group E	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	World Cup
Egypt	4	+3	9	12.4	81.5%
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Uganda	4	+1	7	9.5	11.4%
Ghana	4	+2	5	8.2	7.1%
Congo	4	-6	1	3.1	-

Egypt won the early group final against Uganda, making the favourites to win the qualifications from this group. In the next round we will have these two matches, both very important.

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
29.2%	5.9%	0.20%	Uganda	-	Ghana	0.00%	4.2%	14.5%	176.224
94.2%	60.5%	41.2%	Egypt	-	Congo	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	174.09