World Cup: Europe

Group A

	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
France	8	+10	17	21.9	98.4%	96.5%
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Sweden	8	+11	16	19.3	83.2%	42.0%
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Netherlands	8	+5	13	17.4	16.2%	11.7%
Bulgaria	8	-4	12	14.7	0.36%	0.10%
Luxembourg	8	-10	5	5.8	-
Belarus	8	-12	5	5.9	-

Luxembourg shocked France with a draw (0-0) while Sweden and Netherlands won against Belarus and Bulgaria, respectively. France are still favourites to win the group, while Sweden have 83.2% probability to reach at least playoff.

Group B

	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Switzerland	8	+15	24	26.6	100%	69.4%
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Portugal	8	+24	21	26.1	100%	92.8%
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Hungary	8	+2	10	13.6	-
Faroe Islands	8	-11	8	9.1	-
Andorra	8	-15	4	4.2	-
Latvia	8	-15	3	7.7	-

Portugal and Switzerland both their matches and the group will be decided by the final match between Portugal and Switzerland.

Win

	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
99%	81.4%	76.7%	Portugal	-	Switzerland	56.2%	91.1%	100%	223.843

Group C

	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Germany	7	+27	21	28.7	100%	99.9%
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Northern Irela	7	+12	16	19.1	70.9%	19.8%
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Czechia	7	+3	9	15.3	8.6%	3.3%
Norway	7	-2	7	11.8	0.00%	0.00%
Azerbaijan	7	-8	7	10.6	-
San Marino	7	-32	0	0.3	-

Germany won against Czechia, while Northern Ireland won against San Marino. Germany are likely to win the group and Northern Ireland are favourites to snatch second spot.

 Group D

	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Serbia	7	+9	15	19.4	76.6%	61.6%
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Ireland	7	+4	13	18.5	58.7%	45.2%
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Wales	7	+5	11	17.1	40.6%	28.0%
Austria	7	0	8	14.2	1.8%	0.82%
Georgia	7	-4	4	5.7	-
Moldova	7	-14	2	3.4	-

Serbia won against Moldova while Ireland drew Georgia. The groups is open between the three top 3 teams: Serbia, Ireland and Wales, where Ireland and Serbia play tomorrow (Tuesday).

Group E

	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Poland	7	+4	16	23.1	99%	95.5%
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Montenegro	7	+10	13	15.7	15.2%	4.7%
========
Denmark	7	+8	13	18.3	60.4%	30.4%
Romania	7	+1	9	14.1	7.7%	3.1%
Armenia	7	-8	6	9.2	-
Kazakhstan	7	-15	2	4.0	-

Denmark grabbed the last straw by winning the difficult match against Poland.

Group F

	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
England	7	+12	17	24.1	99%	96.6%
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Slovakia	7	+9	15	19.7	78.2%	41.8%
========
Scotland	7	+2	11	16.7	15.5%	6.2%
Slovenia	7	+2	11	15.0	1.7%	0.50%
Lithuania	7	-8	5	7.8	-
Malta	7	-17	0	1.3	-

England, Slovakia and Scotland all won their matches.

Group G

	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Spain	7	+21	19	26.6	99.99%	99%
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Italy	7	+11	16	23.5	99%	79.0%
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Albania	7	+1	12	14.8	0.22%	0.07%
Israel	7	-4	9	12.1	0.01%	0.00%
Macedonia	7	-4	6	9.6	-
Liechtenstein	7	-25	0	1.2	-

Spain won against Italy (3-0) and virtually secured a spot in Russia.

Group H

	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Belgium	8	+32	22	26.2	100%	100%
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Bosnia and Her	8	+11	14	17.3	36.8%	17.0%
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Greece	8	+6	13	17.5	38.4%	9.8%
Cyprus	8	-4	10	11.2	0.00%	0.00%
Estonia	8	-11	8	11.0	-
Gibraltar	8	-34	0	0.8	-

Belgium secured a spot in the World Cup. Bosnia and Herzegovina fight with Greece about the second spot and playoff.

Group I	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Croatia	7	+10	16	21.0	87.0%	79.3%
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Ukraine	7	+6	14	18.5	48.2%	32.5%
========
Iceland	7	+2	13	18.1	39.1%	21.8%
Turkey	7	+3	11	16.4	17.8%	12.0%
Finland	7	-5	4	7.0	-
Kosovo	7	-16	1	3.2	-

Ukraine won against Turkey in an important match, while Iceland lost against Finland giving Ukraine the advantage in the race for second spot. Croatia is still favourites to win the group.