CL: Match Day 3

Group E
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
88%	3	5	10-3	Liverpool	95% if they draw (or win) against Spartak Moskva; otherwise 42%
41%	3	5	7-3	Spartak Moskva	76% if they draw (or win) against Sevilla; otherwise 22%
70%	3	4	6-7	Sevilla	87% if they win against Spartak Moskva; otherwise 38%
0.9%	3	1	1-11	Maribor	5% if they win against Spartak Moskva; otherwise 0.1%

Tight group between Liverpool, Sevilla and Spartak Moskva.

Group F
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
96%	3	9	8-1	Man City	99.85% if they draw (or win) against Shakhtar; otherwise 89%
64%	3	6	4-4	Shakhtar	96% if they draw (or win) against Napoli; otherwise 42%
40%	3	3	5-5	Napoli	63% if they win against Shakhtar; otherwise 6%
0.3%	3	0	2-9	Feyenoord	2% if they win against Shakhtar; otherwise 0%

Man City are very likely to advance to next round and Napoli are in trouble. Key match will be the game in Napels between Napoli and Shaktar.

Group G
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
98.2%	3	9	7-2	Besiktas	qualified if they draw (or win) against Porto; otherwise 94%
33%	3	4	4-5	RB Leipzig	59% if they draw (or win) against Porto; otherwise 11%
40%	3	3	6-6	Porto	62% if they win against RB Leipzig; otherwise 14%
29%	3	1	2-6	Monaco	58% if they win against Porto; otherwise 8%

Besiktas very likely to advance to next round and very tight about the second spot.

Group H
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
98.8%	3	7	7-1	Tottenham	99.8% if Real Madrid draw (or win) against Dortmund; otherwise 91%
99%	3	7	7-2	Real Madrid	qualified if they draw (or win) against Dortmund; otherwise 91%
2%	3	1	2-7	Dortmund	17% if they win against Real Madrid; otherwise 0.2%
0.1%	3	1	1-7	APOEL	1% if they win against Dortmund; otherwise 0%

Dortmund did not manage to win against APOEL and Tottenham stole a point in Madrid, which means the group is almost closed.