As United lost against West Bromwich, they can no longer catch City, and City have secured the league title.
Chelsea can still reach top-4 but will need 15 points in last five games together with a collapse from Liverpool or Tottenham. Liverpool only need 6 more points in last four games to theoretically clinch top-4, while 5p will likely suffice. Tottenham need 9 more points in last five matches, while 8p will likely suffice.
| Expected Outcome |
| Team | Points | Expected +/- | Champ% | Top4% |
| Man City | 98.9 | 106-29 | 100 | 100 |
|
| Man United | 81.1 | 73-31 | 0 | 99.8 |
|
| Liverpool | 77.6 | 86-39 | 0 | 98.3 |
|
| Tottenham | 78 | 76-34 | 0 | 98.6 |
|
| Chelsea | 70.1 | 67-38 | 0 | 3.32 |
|
| Arsenal | 62.7 | 71-51 | 0 | 0.0005 |
|
| Man United have clinched CL, if they take 5 (of 15) more points |
| Man United have more than 95% chance, if they take 4 (of 15) more points |
| Man United have more than 90% chance, if they take 3 (of 15) more points |
| Liverpool have clinched CL, if they take 6 (of 12) more points |
| Liverpool have more than 99% chance, if they take 5 (of 12) more points |
| Liverpool have more than 50% chance, if they take 2 (of 12) more points |
| Tottenham have clinched CL, if they take 9 (of 15) more points |
| Tottenham have more than 95% chance, if they take 8 (of 15) more points |
| Tottenham have more than 90% chance, if they take 7 (of 15) more points |
| Tottenham have more than 50% chance, if they take 3 (of 15) more points |
| Chelsea have more than 10% chance, if they take 15 (of 15) more points |
| Chelsea have more than 1% chance, if they take 12 (of 15) more points |
| Chelsea have chance, if they take 8 (of 15) more points |
| Arsenal have chance, if they take 15 (of 15) more points |
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