Sunday, April 15, 2018

PL: City champions 17/18

As United lost against West Bromwich, they can no longer catch City, and City have secured the league title.

Chelsea can still reach top-4 but will need 15 points in last five games together with a collapse from Liverpool or Tottenham. Liverpool only need 6 more points in last four games to theoretically clinch top-4, while 5p will likely suffice. Tottenham need 9 more points in last five matches, while 8p will likely suffice.

Expected Outcome
TeamPointsExpected +/-Champ%Top4%
Man City98.9106-29100100
Man United81.173-31099.8
Liverpool77.686-39098.3
Tottenham7876-34098.6
Chelsea70.167-3803.32
Arsenal62.771-5100.0005




Man United have clinched CL, if they take 5 (of 15) more points
Man United have more than 95% chance, if they take 4 (of 15) more points
Man United have more than 90% chance, if they take 3 (of 15) more points


Liverpool have clinched CL, if they take 6 (of 12) more points
Liverpool have more than 99% chance, if they take 5 (of 12) more points
Liverpool have more than 50% chance, if they take 2 (of 12) more points


Tottenham have clinched CL, if they take 9 (of 15) more points
Tottenham have more than 95% chance, if they take 8 (of 15) more points
Tottenham have more than 90% chance, if they take 7 (of 15) more points
Tottenham have more than 50% chance, if they take 3 (of 15) more points


Chelsea have more than 10% chance, if they take 15 (of 15) more points
Chelsea have more than 1% chance, if they take 12 (of 15) more points
Chelsea have chance, if they take 8 (of 15) more points


Arsenal have chance, if they take 15 (of 15) more points

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