PL

In our predictions (taking remaining schedule into account), Chelsea are now trailing 5.3 points behind Liverpool and 3.9 points behind Tottenham. Chelsea probably need at least 10 of 12 points to have a chance. Man United need another win to clinch top 4; Tottenham need 8 points, and Liverpool need 5 of 9 points.

Expected Outcome
Team	Points	Expected +/-	Champ%	Top4%
Man City	99.3	108-28	100	100
Man United	82.2	73-30	0	100
Tottenham	77	75-34	0	96.7
Liverpool	76.7	86-40	0	96.2
Chelsea	71.4	68-38	0	7.11
Arsenal	63.4	72-51	0	0.0003

Man United have clinched CL, if they take 3 (of 12) more points

Man United have more than 99.9% chance, if they take 2 (of 12) more points

Man United have more than 95% chance, if they take 1 (of 12) more points

Tottenham have clinched CL, if they take 8 (of 12) more points

Tottenham have more than 95% chance, if they take 7 (of 12) more points

Tottenham have more than 50% chance, if they take 4 (of 12) more points

Liverpool have clinched CL, if they take 5 (of 9) more points

Liverpool have more than 99% chance, if they take 4 (of 9) more points

Liverpool have more than 50% chance, if they take 2 (of 9) more points

Chelsea have more than 10% chance, if they take 12 (of 12) more points

Chelsea have more than 5% chance, if they take 10 (of 12) more points

Chelsea have more than 1% chance, if they take 9 (of 12) more points

Chelsea have chance, if they take 6 (of 12) more points