Monday, April 23, 2018

CL: predictions Liverpool vs Roma

Our model predicts Liverpool have 52% chance against Roma. The table below shows the teams' chances given different results, and the right column the probability that result happens. If Roma win or draw they have increased their chances. A 0-0 draw would, for example, increase Roma's chances from 48% to 50%. While a 2-1 victory for Liverpool would increase their chances from 52% to 61%.


ChanceTeam


TeamChance(probability)
98%Liverpool4-0Roma2%(2%)
97%Liverpool5-1Roma3%(1%)
94%Liverpool3-0Roma6%(5%)
91%Liverpool4-1Roma9%(3%)
85%Liverpool2-0Roma15%(8%)
79%Liverpool3-1Roma21%(6%)
75%Liverpool4-2Roma25%(2%)
70%Liverpool1-0Roma30%(9%)
61%Liverpool2-1Roma39%(10%)
55%Liverpool3-2Roma45%(4%)
50%Liverpool0-0Roma50%(5%)
42%Liverpool1-1Roma58%(11%)
33%Liverpool2-2Roma67%(6%)
30%Liverpool3-3Roma70%(1%)
26%Liverpool0-1Roma74%(6%)
19%Liverpool1-2Roma81%(7%)
14%Liverpool2-3Roma86%(2%)
10%Liverpool0-2Roma90%(4%)
7%Liverpool1-3Roma93%(3%)
3%Liverpool0-3Roma97%(2%)

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