Tottenham have 98% chance to finish top-4 while Liverpools chance is 93%. Liverpool can clinch their CL place with a draw against Chelsea on Sunday. Tottenham need five points to secure a spot in CL.
| Expected Outcome |
| Team | Points | Expected +/- | Champ% | Top4% |
| Man City | 100 | 110-28 | 100 | 100 |
|
| Man United | 83.3 | 73-30 | 0 | 100 |
|
| Tottenham | 77.6 | 75-33 | 0 | 98.0 |
|
| Liverpool | 75.4 | 83-39 | 0 | 92.7 |
|
| Chelsea | 72.4 | 67-37 | 0 | 9.26 |
|
| Tottenham have clinched CL, if they take 5 (of 9) more points |
| Tottenham have more than 99% chance, if they take 4 (of 9) more points |
| Tottenham have more than 79% chance, if they take 3 (of 9) more points |
| Tottenham have more than 75% chance, if they take 2 (of 9) more points |
| Tottenham have more than 40% chance, if they take 1 (of 9) more points |
| Tottenham have more than 25% chance, if they take 0 (of 9) more points |
| Liverpool have clinched CL, if they draw (or win) against Chelsea |
| Liverpool have more than 99.8% chance, if they take 3 (of 6) more points |
| Liverpool have more than 60% chance, if they take 1 (of 6) more points |
| Liverpool have more than 25% chance, if they take 0 (of 6) more points |
| Chelsea have more than 25% chance, if they take 9 (of 9) more points |
| Chelsea have more than 5% chance, if they take 7 (of 9) more points |
| Chelsea have less than 0.3% chance, if they take 6 (of 9) more points |
| Chelsea have less than 0.01% chance, if they take 5 (of 9) more points |
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