Man United clinched a place in CL with their win against Arsenal, and the loss for Arsenal means their only chance to CL is via a winning Europa League.
Liverpool only drew against Stoke and now have a three-point lead against Chelsea in the expected outcome. With two matches left, of which one is against Chelsea, they need at least two points to clinch a CL place.
Tottenham have a 4.6-point lead against Chelsea. They need eight points in the remaining four matches to clinch CL, while seven point likely will suffice (99%) depending on goal difference and Chelsea's results.
| Expected Outcome |
| Team | Points | Expected +/- | Champ% | Top4% |
| Man City | 100 | 110-28 | 100 | 100 |
|
| Man United | 83.3 | 73-30 | 0 | 100 |
|
| Tottenham | 77 | 75-34 | 0 | 95.6 |
|
| Liverpool | 75.4 | 83-39 | 0 | 93 |
|
| Chelsea | 72.4 | 67-37 | 0 | 11.4 |
|
| Arsenal | 62.5 | 72-51 | 0 | 0 |
|
| Liverpool have clinched CL, if they take 2 (of 6) more points |
| Liverpool have more than 50% chance, if they take 1 (of 6) more points |
| Tottenham have clinched CL, if they take 8 (of 12) more points |
| Tottenham have more than 99% chance, if they take 7 (of 12) more points |
| Tottenham have more than 50% chance, if they take 5 (of 12) more points |
| Tottenham have more than 10% chance, if they take 2 (of 12) more points |
| Tottenham have more than 5% chance, if they take 1 (of 12) more points |
| Chelsea have more than 10% chance, if they take 9 (of 9) more points |
| Chelsea have more than 5% chance, if they take 7 (of 9) more points |
| Chelsea have more than 1% chance, if they take 6 (of 9) more points |
| Chelsea have chance, if they take 3 (of 9) more points |
Posts
No comments:
Post a Comment