PL: Tottenham clinched CL spot

Tottenham clinched CL spot. Chelsea are trailing 2 points behind Liverpool and with 20 goals worse goal difference they need to win while Liverpool lose the last match. Our model predicts that Chelsea have 60% chance at winning away against Newcastle, and the probability that Liverpool lose against Brighton at home is 9%, giving Chelsea approximately 5.5% chance.

Expected Outcome
Team	Points	Expected +/-	Champ%	Top4%
Man City	98.9	107-28	100	100
Man United	81.3	71-29	0	100
Tottenham	76.2	71-32	0	100
Liverpool	74.4	82-38	0	94.5
Chelsea	72	64-36	0	5.45