Wednesday, October 24, 2018

CL: Match Day 3: Groups A-D



Group A
Chancemp+/-
Key
99.2%398-0Dortmund99.92% if they draw (or win) against Brugge; otherwise 96%
96%365-6Atletico99.5% if they draw (or win) against Monaco; otherwise 77%
0.7%312-5Brugge4% if they win against Atletico; otherwise 0.02%
4%312-6Monaco25% if they win against Atletico; otherwise 0.2%

Dortmund virtually secured advancement with a win against Atletico. Monaco did not manage to win against Brugge and now probably need to win both the return in Monaco and the following match in Madrid.


Group B
Chancemp+/-
Key
99.7%3910-2Barcelonaqualified if they draw (or win) against Tottenham; otherwise 98.5%
75%364-4Inter92% if they win against PSV; otherwise 52%
24%315-8Tottenham43% if PSV draw (or win) against Inter; otherwise 8%
2%313-8PSV9% if they win against Inter; otherwise 0.2%

Tottenham fail winning against PSV after late equalizer by PSV. This probably means that Tottenham either needs a win in Barcelona or that PSV can steal a point from Inter on top of the necessary wins in the next two matches against PSV and Inter. Barcelona can secure advancement in next match if they win against Inter in Milan but even two losses and a draw at home against Tottenham in the last match would suffice.



Group C
Chancemp+/-
Key
82%367-3Liverpool97% if they win against Napoli; otherwise 63%
67%353-2Napoli98% if they win against Paris SG; otherwise 42%
50%3410-6Paris SG91% if they win against Napoli; otherwise 33%
0.06%311-10Red Star2% if they win against Napoli; otherwise 0.01%

Group C is as open as when it started. Paris scored a very important equalizer against Napoli, while Liverpool thrashed the Red Star. This is three-horse and Napoli can virtually secure advancement, if they beat Paris in the next match at San Paolo in Naples.




Group D
Chancemp+/-
Key
93%375-2Porto99.3% if they draw (or win) against Galatasaray; otherwise 84%
77%352-1Schalke96% if they win against Galatasaray; otherwise 51%
27%343-1Galatasaray76% if they win against Schalke; otherwise 15%
2%301-7Lok Moskva9.8% if they win against Schalke; otherwise 0.02%

The important match in Istanbul between Galatasaray and Schalke finished goal less, which makes the return in Gelsenkirchen even more important.

Winner \ Runner-upBarcJuveMan BayeRealPortLiveDortAtleSchaNapoRomaAjaxPariLyonGalaMan CSKAInteBenfShakHoffValeMonaTottLok ViktBrugYounAEKPSVRed Total
Barcelona
<1% 2% 3%
3% 4% 7%
8% 6% 9% 8% 5% 7% 3% 11% 3%
2% 2% 2%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% 95%
Juventus<1%
3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 9% 10% 9%

9% 5% 9% 3%
3%
3% 2% 2%
<1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% 95%
Man City<1% <1%
2% 2% 3%
6% 7% 6% 5% 7% 6% 4%
2%
2% 10% 2%

4% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 79%
Bayern<1% <1% 2%
2% 2% 3%
6%
5% 7%
3% 5% 2% 9% 2% 10%
1%
4% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% 77%
Real Madrid
<1% 2% 2%
2% 3% 5%
6% 5%
6% 4% 6% 2% 8%
9% 2% 1% 1%
<1% 3% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 75%
Porto<1% <1% 1% 1% 2%
2% 4% 5%
3% 5% 4% 3% 4%
7% 2% 7%
1% 1% 3% <1% 2%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 67%
Liverpool<1% <1%
1% 2% 2%
4% 5% 4%
5% 4%
4% 1%
1% 7% 1% 1% 1% 3% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55%
Dortmund<1% <1% 1%
1% 1% 2%


3% 4% 4% 2% 4% 1% 6% 1% 6% 1% 1%
2%
2% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% 52%
Atletico
<1% 1% 1%
1% 1%

3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 1% 5% 1% 5% 1% 1% <1%

1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% 47%
Schalke<1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%
2%
1% 2% 2% 1% 1%
3% <1% 3% <1% <1%
1% <1% 1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 26%
Napoli<1%
<1% <1% 1% 1%
2% 2% 2%

2%
2% <1% 3% <1%
<1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
25%
Roma<1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% 1% 1% 1%

1% 1% 1% <1% 2%

<1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 19%
Ajax<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
<1% 1% <1% 2% <1% 2%
<1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


19%
Paris SG<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
1% 1% 1%
1% 1%

<1% 1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18%
Lyon<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 1%

<1% 1% <1% 2% <1%

<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17%
Galatasaray<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Man United<1%

<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% 4%
CSKA Moskva<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


<1%
<1%
4%
Inter

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

3%
Benfica<1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%
2%
Shakhtar<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
1%
Hoffenheim<1% <1%

<1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%
Valencia

<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%



<1%
Monaco
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
Tottenham


<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%



<1%


<1%
Lok Moskva<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%
<1%


<1%
Viktoria Plz<1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%






<1%
Brugge

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1%
<1%






<1%
Young Boys

<1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1%
<1%

<1%


<1% <1%











<1%
AEK

<1%


<1% <1%

<1%

<1%

<1%
<1%








<1%


<1%
PSV








<1%
<1%

<1%
<1% <1%

<1%










<1%
Red Star






<1%



<1%




<1%

<1%









<1%
Total3%4%18%19%19%26%26%46%48%48%38%54%60%35%54%23%65%24%70%19%16%11%26%3%23%2%1%<1%2%<1%2%<1%
Posted by at No comments:

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

CL: Match Day 3: Groups E-H



Group E

Chancemp+/-
Key
98%375-1Bayern99.6% if they draw (or win) against Benfica; otherwise 85%
78%375-1Ajax98.3% if they draw (or win) against Benfica; otherwise 61%
24%333-5Benfica42% if they win against Ajax; otherwise 2%
0.3%302-8AEK4% if they win against Bayern; otherwise 0.02%


Ajax with a last-minute decider may turn out very important and now Benfica must win the return match in Lisbon in two weeks time.




Group F

Chancemp+/-
Key
98%366-3Man City99.7% if they win against Shakhtar; otherwise 93%
70%357-6Lyon82% if they draw (or win) against Hoffenheim; otherwise 32%
14%326-7Hoffenheim47% if they win against Lyon; otherwise 4%
18%324-7Shakhtar33% if they win against Lyon; otherwise 2%

Hoffenheim with a late equalizer against Lyon gives them some hope. Man City won against Shakhtar and are close to have clinched last 16.





Group G

Chancemp+/-
Key
95%365-2Real Madrid99.4% if they win against CSKA Moskva; otherwise 80%
78%368-3Roma95% if they draw (or win) against CSKA Moskva; otherwise 46%
25%343-5CSKA Moskva56% if they win against Roma; otherwise 8%
2%313-9Viktoria Plzen8% if they win against CSKA Moskva; otherwise 0.2%

Roma won against Moskva and are now favorites with Madrid to advance from this group. Madrid won as expected.




Group H

Chancemp+/-
Key
99.81%396-0Juventusqualified if they draw (or win) against Valencia; otherwise 98.6%
67%343-1Man United92% if they draw (or win) against Valencia; otherwise 31%
31%321-3Valencia67% if they win against Man United; otherwise 6%
2%311-7Young Boys15% if they win against Man United; otherwise 0.5%

Juventus won group final against Man United are thereby virtually qualified for last 16. Man United still favorites after Juventus, as Valencia failed to win against Young Boys. The match between Valencia and Man United in Valencia in the last round will likely deciding the group.
















Posted by at No comments:

Wednesday, October 3, 2018

CL: Match Day 2 - Groups A-D

Group A
Chancemp+/-
Key
89%264-0Dortmund98% if they draw (or win) against Monaco; otherwise 80%
98.2%265-2Atletico99.7% if they draw (or win) against Monaco; otherwise 90%
3%201-4Brugge14% if they win against Dortmund; otherwise 0.4%
9.9%201-5Monaco18% if they win against Dortmund; otherwise 1%


Dortmund won important match against Monaco. Brugge and Monaco struggle and the matches between them in the two next matches will be important.


Group B
Chancemp+/-
Key
98.6%268-2Barcelona99.8% if they draw (or win) against Tottenham; otherwise 94%
67%264-2Inter96% if they draw (or win) against Tottenham; otherwise 54%
32%203-6Tottenham44% if they win against Inter; otherwise 3%
2%201-6PSV9.9% if they win against Inter; otherwise 0.2%

Good results for Inter and bad results for Tottenham. Tottenham decreased thei chances from 58% to 32%, while Inter increased from 38% to 67%. The match in London between Inter and Tottenham will be key but before that Tottenham need good results in two matches against PSV while Inter play against Barcelona.






Group C
Chancemp+/-
Key
61%241-0Napoli84% if they win against Paris SG; otherwise 42%
80%233-3Liverpool97% if they win against Napoli; otherwise 60%
58%238-4Paris SG77% if they draw (or win) against Napoli; otherwise 36%
0.2%211-6Red Star3% if they win against Napoli; otherwise 0.06%


Napoli opened up this group with a last-minute winning goal against Liverpool. Red Star struggle with not much chance and will play away against Liverpool in next round.



Group D
Chancemp+/-
Key
74%242-1Schalke88% if they win against Galatasaray; otherwise 53%
80%242-1Porto91% if they draw (or win) against Galatasaray; otherwise 62%
38%233-1Galatasaray61% if they win against Schalke; otherwise 22%
9%200-4Lok Moskva28% if they win against Porto; otherwise 4%

Schalke with a late winner against Moskva giving them good chances. Porto still favourites.

Winner \ Runner-upBarcAtleJuveRealBayeMan PortLiveSchaPariLyonNapoMan DortAjaxRomaGalaBenfShakCSKAInteHoffValeLok TottMonaAEKViktYounBrugPSVRed Total
Barcelona

2%
3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 8% 10% 4% 6% 3% 5% 2% 4%
2%
<1%
1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% 90%
Atletico

2%
2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 7%
4% 5% 2% 4% 2% 4% 8% 1%
<1% 4%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% 80%
Juventus1% 2%
2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 3% 5%

10% 4%
2% 4% 2% 4%
2%
<1% 4% 1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% 76%
Real Madrid

2%
2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 6% 8% 4%
2% 4% 2%
7% 1%
<1% 3% 1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% 76%
Bayern1% 2% 2% 2%
3% 3% 4%
3% 4% 4% 7%

5% 2%
2% 4% 7%
3% <1% 4% 1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 72%
Man City<1% 2% 2% 2% 2%
3%
3% 2%
3%
7% 3% 4% 2% 3%
3% 6%
2% <1%
1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 60%
Porto<1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
2%
2% 2% 2% 4% 4% 2% 3%

1% 2% 4% <1% 1%
2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 47%
Liverpool<1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
2%
2%
2%

5% 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
43%
Schalke<1% 1% 1% 1%
1%
2%
1% 2% 2% 3%
2% 2%
1% 1% 1% 3%
1%
1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 35%
Paris SG<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1%
1%


2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% <1% 1% 2% <1% 1% <1% 1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
29%
Lyon<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
1% 1% 1%

1% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% 1%
1% 2%
1% <1% 1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
27%
Napoli<1% <1%
<1% <1% 1% 1%
1%
1%
2% 3% 1%
1% 1% <1% 1%
<1% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
26%
Man United<1% <1%
<1% <1%
1%
1% <1% 1% 1%
2% 1% 1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 2% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% 20%
Dortmund<1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% 1%
<1% 1% 1% 1%
1% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% 19%
Ajax<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1%
1% <1%
<1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% 16%
Roma<1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
1% 1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% 15%
Galatasaray<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 14%
Benfica<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 10%
Shakhtar<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 9%
CSKA Moskva<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
8%
Inter
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% 8%
Hoffenheim<1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3%
Valencia



<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1%
2%
Lok Moskva<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2%
Tottenham
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% 1%
Monaco<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%


<1%
AEK<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
Viktoria Plz<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1%
Young Boys<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


<1% <1%



<1%
<1%
Brugge

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%






<1%
PSV
<1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%











<1%
Red Star<1% <1%

<1% <1%





<1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%







<1%
Total8%17%21%17%21%27%32%36%35%31%38%32%56%68%38%43%25%37%20%36%58%13%19%6%30%10%1%2%3%3%2%<1%
Posted by at No comments:
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)