Wednesday, October 24, 2018

CL: Match Day 3: Groups A-D



Group A
Chancemp+/-
Key
99.2%398-0Dortmund99.92% if they draw (or win) against Brugge; otherwise 96%
96%365-6Atletico99.5% if they draw (or win) against Monaco; otherwise 77%
0.7%312-5Brugge4% if they win against Atletico; otherwise 0.02%
4%312-6Monaco25% if they win against Atletico; otherwise 0.2%

Dortmund virtually secured advancement with a win against Atletico. Monaco did not manage to win against Brugge and now probably need to win both the return in Monaco and the following match in Madrid.


Group B
Chancemp+/-
Key
99.7%3910-2Barcelonaqualified if they draw (or win) against Tottenham; otherwise 98.5%
75%364-4Inter92% if they win against PSV; otherwise 52%
24%315-8Tottenham43% if PSV draw (or win) against Inter; otherwise 8%
2%313-8PSV9% if they win against Inter; otherwise 0.2%

Tottenham fail winning against PSV after late equalizer by PSV. This probably means that Tottenham either needs a win in Barcelona or that PSV can steal a point from Inter on top of the necessary wins in the next two matches against PSV and Inter. Barcelona can secure advancement in next match if they win against Inter in Milan but even two losses and a draw at home against Tottenham in the last match would suffice.



Group C
Chancemp+/-
Key
82%367-3Liverpool97% if they win against Napoli; otherwise 63%
67%353-2Napoli98% if they win against Paris SG; otherwise 42%
50%3410-6Paris SG91% if they win against Napoli; otherwise 33%
0.06%311-10Red Star2% if they win against Napoli; otherwise 0.01%

Group C is as open as when it started. Paris scored a very important equalizer against Napoli, while Liverpool thrashed the Red Star. This is three-horse and Napoli can virtually secure advancement, if they beat Paris in the next match at San Paolo in Naples.




Group D
Chancemp+/-
Key
93%375-2Porto99.3% if they draw (or win) against Galatasaray; otherwise 84%
77%352-1Schalke96% if they win against Galatasaray; otherwise 51%
27%343-1Galatasaray76% if they win against Schalke; otherwise 15%
2%301-7Lok Moskva9.8% if they win against Schalke; otherwise 0.02%

The important match in Istanbul between Galatasaray and Schalke finished goal less, which makes the return in Gelsenkirchen even more important.

Winner \ Runner-upBarcJuveMan BayeRealPortLiveDortAtleSchaNapoRomaAjaxPariLyonGalaMan CSKAInteBenfShakHoffValeMonaTottLok ViktBrugYounAEKPSVRed Total
Barcelona
<1% 2% 3%
3% 4% 7%
8% 6% 9% 8% 5% 7% 3% 11% 3%
2% 2% 2%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% 95%
Juventus<1%
3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 9% 10% 9%

9% 5% 9% 3%
3%
3% 2% 2%
<1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% 95%
Man City<1% <1%
2% 2% 3%
6% 7% 6% 5% 7% 6% 4%
2%
2% 10% 2%

4% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 79%
Bayern<1% <1% 2%
2% 2% 3%
6%
5% 7%
3% 5% 2% 9% 2% 10%
1%
4% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% 77%
Real Madrid
<1% 2% 2%
2% 3% 5%
6% 5%
6% 4% 6% 2% 8%
9% 2% 1% 1%
<1% 3% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 75%
Porto<1% <1% 1% 1% 2%
2% 4% 5%
3% 5% 4% 3% 4%
7% 2% 7%
1% 1% 3% <1% 2%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 67%
Liverpool<1% <1%
1% 2% 2%
4% 5% 4%
5% 4%
4% 1%
1% 7% 1% 1% 1% 3% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55%
Dortmund<1% <1% 1%
1% 1% 2%


3% 4% 4% 2% 4% 1% 6% 1% 6% 1% 1%
2%
2% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% 52%
Atletico
<1% 1% 1%
1% 1%

3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 1% 5% 1% 5% 1% 1% <1%

1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% 47%
Schalke<1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%
2%
1% 2% 2% 1% 1%
3% <1% 3% <1% <1%
1% <1% 1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 26%
Napoli<1%
<1% <1% 1% 1%
2% 2% 2%

2%
2% <1% 3% <1%
<1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
25%
Roma<1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% 1% 1% 1%

1% 1% 1% <1% 2%

<1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 19%
Ajax<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
<1% 1% <1% 2% <1% 2%
<1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


19%
Paris SG<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
1% 1% 1%
1% 1%

<1% 1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18%
Lyon<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 1%

<1% 1% <1% 2% <1%

<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17%
Galatasaray<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6%
Man United<1%

<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% 4%
CSKA Moskva<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


<1%
<1%
4%
Inter

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

3%
Benfica<1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%
2%
Shakhtar<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
1%
Hoffenheim<1% <1%

<1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%
Valencia

<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%



<1%
Monaco
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
<1%
Tottenham


<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%



<1%


<1%
Lok Moskva<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%
<1%


<1%
Viktoria Plz<1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%






<1%
Brugge

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1%
<1%






<1%
Young Boys

<1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1%
<1%

<1%


<1% <1%











<1%
AEK

<1%


<1% <1%

<1%

<1%

<1%
<1%








<1%


<1%
PSV








<1%
<1%

<1%
<1% <1%

<1%










<1%
Red Star






<1%



<1%




<1%

<1%









<1%
Total3%4%18%19%19%26%26%46%48%48%38%54%60%35%54%23%65%24%70%19%16%11%26%3%23%2%1%<1%2%<1%2%<1%
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