CL: Match Day 5: Groups E-H

Group E
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	5	13	12-2	Bayern
100%	5	11	8-2	Ajax
0%	5	4	5-11	Benfica
0%	5	0	2-12	AEK

Bayern and Ajax advance to last 16. We have a group final in the last match when Ajax host Bayern in Amsterdam. Ajax need to win to win the group.

Group F
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	5	10	14-5	Man City
50%	5	7	11-10	Lyon	qualified if they draw (or win) against Shakhtar; otherwise 0%
50%	5	5	7-15	Shakhtar	qualified if they win against Lyon; otherwise 0%
0%	5	3	10-12	Hoffenheim

Shakhtar scored a crucial last-minute goal to win against Hoffenheim. This means that a win (home) against Lyon in the last match suffice to advance to the last 16.

Group G

Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	5	12	12-2	Real Madrid
100%	5	9	10-6	Roma
0%	5	4	5-15	Viktoria Plzen
0%	5	4	5-9	CSKA Moskva

This group is dead. Real Madrid has won the group and Roma is second.

Group H

Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	5	12	8-2	Juventus
100%	5	10	6-2	Man United
0%	5	5	4-5	Valencia
0%	5	1	2-11	Young Boys

With Man United's important last-minute winner against Young Boys, this group is more or less decided. Juventus and Man United advance to the last 16, and Juventus will likely (88%) win the group. Juventus need to either win against Young Boys or that Valencia takes a point at home against Man United.