Asian Cup

The predictions of the Asian Cup based on 1,000,000 simulations.

Group A	Pld	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Last 16	Group Winner	Runner up
United Arab Emirates	0	0	0	0	0	94%	58%	26%
India	0	0	0	0	0	31%	4%	11%
Bahrain	0	0	0	0	0	78%	22%	34%
Thailand	0	0	0	0	0	69%	16%	29%

Group B	Pld	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Last 16	Group Winner	Runner up
Australia	0	0	0	0	0	95%	61%	26%
Syria	0	0	0	0	0	83%	26%	40%
Jordan	0	0	0	0	0	53%	8%	21%
Palestine	0	0	0	0	0	36%	4%	14%

Group C	Pld	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Last 16	Group Winner	Runner up
South Korea	0	0	0	0	0	99%	79%	18%
China	0	0	0	0	0	89%	17%	57%
Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0	0	0	46%	3%	18%
Philippines	0	0	0	0	0	21%	< 1%	8%

Group D	Pld	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Last 16	Group Winner	Runner up
Iran	0	0	0	0	0	99%	77%	19%
Vietnam	0	0	0	0	0	48%	3%	17%
Iraq	0	0	0	0	0	91%	19%	58%
Yemen	0	0	0	0	0	18%	< 1%	6%

Group E	Pld	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Last 16	Group Winner	Runner up
Saudi Arabia	0	0	0	0	0	85%	42%	28%
Lebanon	0	0	0	0	0	61%	17%	23%
Qatar	0	0	0	0	0	75%	28%	28%
North Korea	0	0	0	0	0	54%	14%	21%

Group F	Pld	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Last 16	Group Winner	Runner up
Japan	0	0	0	0	0	96%	59%	27%
Uzbekistan	0	0	0	0	0	85%	24%	38%
Turkmenistan	0	0	0	0	0	16%	1%	5%
Oman	0	0	0	0	0	76%	16%	30%

The table below shows each team's probability to reach the different rounds.

Country	Last 16	Quarter	Semi	Final	Champions
Iran	99%	80%	62%	43%	28%
South Korea	99%	79%	54%	37%	21%
Australia	95%	72%	48%	26%	14%
Japan	96%	67%	44%	24%	13%
Syria	83%	45%	25%	10%	4%
United Arab Emirates	94%	60%	26%	10%	4%
Iraq	91%	50%	22%	10%	3%
Uzbekistan	85%	42%	23%	9%	3%
Saudi Arabia	85%	39%	17%	7%	3%
China	89%	50%	16%	6%	2%
Oman	76%	30%	14%	5%	1%
Qatar	75%	29%	11%	4%	1%
Bahrain	78%	32%	8%	2%	< 1%
Lebanon	61%	19%	6%	2%	< 1%
Jordan	53%	17%	6%	2%	< 1%
North Korea	54%	15%	5%	1%	< 1%
Thailand	69%	24%	5%	1%	< 1%
Palestine	36%	9%	3%	< 1%	< 1%
Vietnam	48%	12%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
Kyrgyzstan	46%	13%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
India	31%	5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Turkmenistan	16%	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Philippines	21%	4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Yemen	18%	3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The same data shown in a bracket.

Last 16	Quarter-finals	Semi-finals	Final	World Champions
Bahrain (34%) Thailand (29%) United Arab Emirates (26%)	-	-	-	-
-	China (34%) United Arab Emirates (15%) South Korea (15%) Bahrain (15%)	-	-	-
China (57%) South Korea (18%) Kyrgyzstan (18%)	-	-	-	-
-	-	Iran (50%) China (9%) South Korea (8%)	-	-
Iran (77%) Iraq (19%)	-	-	-	-
-	Iran (63%) Iraq (11%) Oman (5%)	-	-	-
Oman (21%) Uzbekistan (16%) Lebanon (13%) North Korea (12%) Qatar (11%)	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	Iran (35%) Australia (17%) Japan (16%) South Korea (5%)	-
Australia (61%) Syria (26%)	-	-	-	-
-	Australia (51%) Syria (19%) Jordan (5%)	-	-	-
Thailand (21%) Bahrain (18%) Vietnam (17%) India (13%) United Arab Emirates (8%)	-	-	-	-
-	-	Australia (32%) Japan (27%) Syria (9%) Uzbekistan (7%)	-	-
Japan (59%) Uzbekistan (24%) Oman (16%)	-	-	-	-
-	Japan (44%) Uzbekistan (15%) Saudi Arabia (11%)	-	-	-
Qatar (28%) Saudi Arabia (28%) Lebanon (23%) North Korea (21%)	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	Iran (28%) South Korea (21%) Australia (14%) Japan (13%)
South Korea (79%) China (17%)	-	-	-	-
-	South Korea (62%) China (9%) Syria (6%)	-	-	-
Jordan (23%) Palestine (18%) Syria (16%) Oman (9%) Australia (8%)	-	-	-	-
-	-	South Korea (44%) Iraq (12%) Iran (10%)	-	-
Saudi Arabia (42%) Qatar (28%) Lebanon (17%)	-	-	-	-
-	Iraq (33%) Saudi Arabia (22%) Iran (16%) Qatar (13%)	-	-	-
Iraq (58%) Iran (19%) Vietnam (17%)	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	South Korea (32%) Australia (9%) Japan (8%) Iran (8%)	-
United Arab Emirates (58%) Bahrain (22%) Thailand (16%)	-	-	-	-
-	United Arab Emirates (41%) Bahrain (12%) Thailand (8%) China (6%)	-	-	-
Kyrgyzstan (22%) China (12%) Vietnam (12%) Philippines (11%) Lebanon (8%)	-	-	-	-
-	-	United Arab Emirates (19%) Japan (14%) Australia (13%) Syria (12%) Uzbekistan (12%)	-	-
Syria (40%) Australia (26%) Jordan (21%) Palestine (14%)	-	-	-	-
-	Syria (20%) Uzbekistan (20%) Japan (18%) Australia (17%) Oman (14%)	-	-	-
Uzbekistan (38%) Oman (30%) Japan (27%)	-	-