Tuesday, February 19, 2019

CL: Prediction round of last 16 - Wednesday

Schalke (14%) - Man City (86%)

Schalke are clearly underdog against Man City. A draw would be a good result and actually increase their chances unless they score too many goals.


Chance
Result
ChanceProbability

58%Schalke2-0Man City42%(3%)
49%Schalke3-1Man City51%(2%)
39%Schalke1-0Man City61%(5%)
30%Schalke2-1Man City70%(6%)
25%Schalke3-2Man City75%(2%)
21%Schalke0-0Man City79%(4%)
16%Schalke1-1Man City84%(10%)
11%Schalke2-2Man City89%(6%)
9%Schalke3-3Man City91%(1%)
7%Schalke0-1Man City93%(9%)
5%Schalke1-2Man City95%(10%)
3%Schalke2-3Man City97%(4%)
2%Schalke0-2Man City98%(9%)
1%Schalke1-3Man City99%(7%)
1%Schalke2-4Man City99%(2%)
0%Schalke0-3Man City100%(6%)
0%Schalke1-4Man City100%(3%)
0%Schalke0-4Man City100%(3%)
0%Schalke1-5Man City100%(1%)
0%Schalke0-5Man City100%(1%)

Atletico (42%) - Juventus (58%)

This is tight match between recent finalists. Atletico  starts at home and need to win to increase their chances.

Chance
Result
ChanceProbability

97%Atletico4-0Juventus3%(1%)
91%Atletico3-0Juventus9%(4%)
87%Atletico4-1Juventus13%(2%)
81%Atletico2-0Juventus19%(7%)
73%Atletico3-1Juventus27%(5%)
69%Atletico4-2Juventus31%(1%)
64%Atletico1-0Juventus36%(8%)
54%Atletico2-1Juventus46%(9%)
48%Atletico3-2Juventus52%(3%)
43%Atletico0-0Juventus57%(5%)
35%Atletico1-1Juventus65%(11%)
27%Atletico2-2Juventus73%(6%)
24%Atletico3-3Juventus76%(2%)
20%Atletico0-1Juventus80%(7%)
15%Atletico1-2Juventus85%(8%)
11%Atletico2-3Juventus89%(3%)
7%Atletico0-2Juventus93%(5%)
5%Atletico1-3Juventus95%(4%)
2%Atletico0-3Juventus98%(2%)
1%Atletico1-4Juventus99%(1%)

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