CL: Prediction after round of 16

Four English teams in quartfinals. Our simulations estimate the following chances for the eight quartfinalists:

Team	QF	Semi	Finalist	Champ
Barcelona	100%	69%	45%	27%
Man City	100%	64%	39%	22%
Juventus	100%	60%	34%	17%
Liverpool	100%	56%	28%	14%
Tottenham	100%	51%	23%	10%
Man United	100%	38%	13%	5%
Porto	100%	34%	10%	3%
Ajax	100%	29%	8%	2%

The figure below shows how the chance to win the tournament has changed over time. Porto doubled their chances with a later winner in extra time. Also Juventus made a big leap with a late winner, avoiding an uncertain extra time.