PL: Chelsea lost at Goodison

Chelsea lost at Goodison Park. Did they also lose the chance to reach top 4?

Liverpool won against Fulham yet are trailing 0.3 points behind Man City in expected points.

Expected Outcome
Team	Points	Expected +/-	Champ%	Top4%
Man City	91.5	98-28	57	>99.9
Liverpool	91.2	86-24	43	>99.9
Tottenham	76.7	74-41	0.0023	81.8
Arsenal	75.2	79-48	0.0001	65.3
Man United	72.9	73-49	0	31.4
Chelsea	71.9	66-42	0	21.5

Man City have clinched CL, if they take 10 (of 24) more points.

Liverpool have clinched CL, if they take 8 (of 21) more points

Tottenham have more than 90% chance, if they take 16 (of 24) more points

Arsenal have more than 90% chance, if they take 17 (of 24) more points

Man United have more than 50% chance, if they take 17 (of 24) more points

Chelsea have more than 50% chance, if they take 19 (of 24) more points