Sunday, March 24, 2019

Euro20: Match Day 2 groups C, E and G


Germany and Netherlands still favorites and the probability that they take top 2  spots is ~90%. Northern Ireland is the main challenger and they have won both their matches so far.


Group CPldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
Northern Ireland2618%1.5%10%94%24% if they win against Belarus; otherwise 15%
Germany1398.7%73%97.2%>99.99%99.2% if they win against Belarus; otherwise 97%
Netherlands (P)2397.0%25%92%100%98% if Belarus draw (or win) against Northern Ireland; otherwise 95%
Estonia10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Belarus (P)2023%< 1%< 1%100%
(P) Clinched playoff


Open group between four teams and became even more open after Croatia's loss against Hungary.

Group EPldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
Wales1374%29%64%99.99%86% if they win against Hungary; otherwise 66%
Slovakia2355%14%40%99.76%61% if they win against Azerbaijan; otherwise 45%
Hungary2324%4.0%16%83%39% if they win against Wales; otherwise 16%
Croatia2391%53%80%>99.99%94% if they win against Wales; otherwise 84%
Azerbaijan10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%2% if they win against Slovakia; otherwise 0.2%

Israel with a very important win at home versus Austria. Austria still favorites to take the 2nd spot after Poland but this result makes the race with Israel tighter.

Group GPldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
Poland2695%78%93%>99.99%97% if they win against Israel; otherwise 89%
Israel2432%6%26%95.5%53% if they win against Poland; otherwise 28%
Macedonia (H)2439%2.3%13%100%50% if they win against Austria; otherwise 35%
Slovenia2212%2.1%12%12%24% if they draw (or win) against Austria; otherwise 7%
Austria2070%12%56%>99.99%78% if they win against Macedonia; otherwise 59%
Latvia20< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff


No comments:

Post a Comment