Saturday, March 23, 2019

Euro20: Predictions after Match Day 1

Group APldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
England (P)1399.54%92%98.9%100%
Montenegro1117%1.1%17%17%33% if they win against England; otherwise 15%
Bulgaria1132%1.4%19%99.68%40% if they win against Kosovo; otherwise 26%
Kosovo (P)0020%< 1%6%100%25% if they win against Bulgaria; otherwise 18%
Czechia1069%4.8%59%99.92%71% if Kosovo draw (or win) against Bulgaria; otherwise 66%
(P) Clinched playoff


Group BPldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
Luxembourg131.4%< 1%< 1%19%3% if they win against Ukraine; otherwise 1%
Portugal (H)1195%57%87%100%98% if they win against Serbia; otherwise 90%
Ukraine (H)1170%19%54%100%74% if they win against Luxembourg; otherwise 60%
Serbia (P)0076%24%59%100%90% if they win against Portugal; otherwise 73%
Lithuania10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff


Group CPldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
Netherlands (P)1398.9%61%96.9%100%99.5% if they win against Germany; otherwise 98.1%
Northern Ireland1317%1.1%8%95.6%20% if they win against Belarus; otherwise 13%
Germany0096.9%38%93%>99.99%99% if they win against Netherlands; otherwise 96%
Estonia10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Belarus (P)1024%< 1%1.5%100%
(P) Clinched playoff


Group DPldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
Switzerland (H)1396.3%57%91%100%98.5% if they win against Denmark; otherwise 94%
Ireland1337%5%23%99.15%41% if they win against Georgia; otherwise 29%
Denmark (P)0092%37%83%100%97% if they win against Switzerland; otherwise 90%
Gibraltar10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Georgia (H)1038%< 1%1.9%100%
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff


Group EPldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
Slovakia1367%16%55%99.89%87% if they win against Wales; otherwise 60%
Croatia1395.9%69%91%>99.99%98% if they win against Hungary; otherwise 93%
Wales0064%14%48%99.99%76% if they win against Slovakia; otherwise 52%
Azerbaijan10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Hungary1015%< 1%6%80%24% if they win against Croatia; otherwise 13%


Group FPldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
Spain (P)1398.5%75%95.6%100%
Sweden (P)1387%21%77%100%94% if they win against Norway; otherwise 81%
Malta13< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Norway (H)1037%< 1%10%100%46% if they win against Sweden; otherwise 33%
Romania1027%2.7%18%54%30% if Norway draw (or win) against Sweden; otherwise 23%
Faroe Islands10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff


Group GPldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
Macedonia (H)1337%2.3%11%100%44% if they win against Slovenia; otherwise 35%
Poland1394%69%91%>99.99%95% if they win against Latvia; otherwise 88%
Slovenia1115%3.3%15%15%20% if they win against Macedonia; otherwise 8%
Israel1119%2.4%12%95.9%31% if they win against Austria; otherwise 14%
Austria1080%23%72%>99.99%88% if they win against Israel; otherwise 73%
Latvia10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff


Group HPldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
France (P)1399.90%95.4%99.62%100%
Turkey1368%3.1%61%99.84%71% if they win against Moldova; otherwise 56%
Iceland1351%1.5%37%99.94%61% if Moldova draw (or win) against Turkey; otherwise 49%
Albania102.2%< 1%2.2%2.3%3% if they win against Andorra; otherwise 0.8%
Andorra10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Moldova10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%2% if they win against Turkey; otherwise 0.1%
(P) Clinched playoff


Group IPldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
Cyprus132.0%< 1%2.0%2.0%6% if they win against Belgium; otherwise 2%
Kazakhstan131.5%< 1%1.5%1.5%8% if they win against Russia; otherwise 0.7%
Belgium (P)1399.87%95%99.58%100%
Russia1077%3.6%68%>99.99%81% if they win against Kazakhstan; otherwise 68%
Scotland (H)1057%1.4%29%100%62% if Kazakhstan draw (or win) against Russia; otherwise 54%
San Marino (E)10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(E) Eliminated


Group JPldPtsQual1stTop 2Atleast PlayoffComment
Greece1315%2.8%15%16%29% if they draw (or win) against Bosnia and Herzegovina; otherwise 9.2%
Italy1397.2%68%94%>99.99%
Bosnia and Herzegovina (H)1386%28%78%100%91% if they win against Greece; otherwise 76%
Armenia10< 1%< 1%< 1%2.0%2% if they win against Finland; otherwise 0.5%
Finland (P)1025%1.5%12%100%29% if they win against Armenia; otherwise 21%
Liechtenstein10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff


League ATop 2PlayoffOwn LeagueHome AdvantageComment
DSwitzerland (H)91%9%9%9%98.5% if they win against Denmark; otherwise 94%
BPortugal (H)87%13%13%13%98% if they win against Serbia; otherwise 90%
CNetherlands (P)96.9%3.1%3.1%3.0%99.5% if they win against Germany; otherwise 98.1%
AEngland (P)98.9%1.1%1.1%1.1%
IBelgium (P)99.58%< 1%< 1%< 1%
HFrance (P)99.62%< 1%< 1%< 1%
FSpain (P)95.6%4.4%4.4%4.4%
JItaly94%6%6%6%
ECroatia91%9%9%9%98% if they win against Hungary; otherwise 93%
GPoland91%9%9%8%95% if they win against Latvia; otherwise 88%
CGermany93%7%7%7%99% if they win against Netherlands; otherwise 96%
HIceland37%63%63%55%61% if Moldova draw (or win) against Turkey; otherwise 49%
League BTop 2PlayoffOwn LeagueHome AdvantageComment
JBosnia and Herzegovina (H)78%22%22%22%91% if they win against Greece; otherwise 76%
BUkraine (H)54%46%46%46%74% if they win against Luxembourg; otherwise 60%
DDenmark (P)83%17%17%15%97% if they win against Switzerland; otherwise 90%
FSweden (P)77%23%23%19%94% if they win against Norway; otherwise 81%
IRussia68%32%21%26%81% if they win against Kazakhstan; otherwise 68%
GAustria72%28%18%21%88% if they win against Israel; otherwise 73%
EWales48%52%37%34%76% if they win against Slovakia; otherwise 52%
ACzechia59%41%27%21%71% if Kosovo draw (or win) against Bulgaria; otherwise 66%
ESlovakia55%45%32%24%87% if they win against Wales; otherwise 60%
HTurkey61%39%25%15%71% if they win against Moldova; otherwise 56%
DIreland23%76%55%13%41% if they win against Georgia; otherwise 29%
CNorthern Ireland8%87%64%8%20% if they win against Belarus; otherwise 13%
League CTop 2PlayoffOwn LeagueHome AdvantageComment
IScotland (H)29%71%71%71%62% if Kazakhstan draw (or win) against Russia; otherwise 54%
FNorway (H)10%90%90%90%46% if they win against Sweden; otherwise 33%
BSerbia (P)59%41%41%15%90% if they win against Portugal; otherwise 73%
JFinland (P)12%88%88%20%29% if they win against Armenia; otherwise 21%
ABulgaria19%81%34%18%40% if they win against Kosovo; otherwise 26%
GIsrael12%84%35%6%31% if they win against Austria; otherwise 14%
EHungary6%73%28%< 1%24% if they win against Croatia; otherwise 13%
FRomania18%36%13%< 1%30% if Norway draw (or win) against Sweden; otherwise 23%
JGreece15%< 1%< 1%< 1%29% if they draw (or win) against Bosnia and Herzegovina; otherwise 9.2%
HAlbania2.2%< 1%< 1%< 1%3% if they win against Andorra; otherwise 0.8%
AMontenegro17%< 1%< 1%< 1%33% if they win against England; otherwise 15%
ICyprus2.0%< 1%< 1%< 1%6% if they win against Belgium; otherwise 2%
CEstonia< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
GSlovenia15%< 1%< 1%< 1%20% if they win against Macedonia; otherwise 8%
BLithuania< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
League DTop 2PlayoffOwn LeagueHome AdvantageComment
DGeorgia (H)1.9%98.1%98.1%98.1%
GMacedonia (H)11%89%89%89%44% if they win against Slovenia; otherwise 35%
CBelarus (P)1.5%98.5%98.5%13%
AKosovo (P)6%94%94%< 1%25% if they win against Bulgaria; otherwise 18%
BLuxembourg< 1%19%19%< 1%3% if they win against Ukraine; otherwise 1%
JArmenia< 1%1.2%1.2%< 1%2% if they win against Finland; otherwise 0.5%
EAzerbaijan< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
HAndorra< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
HMoldova< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%2% if they win against Turkey; otherwise 0.1%
DGibraltar< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
FFaroe Islands< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
IKazakhstan1.5%< 1%< 1%< 1%8% if they win against Russia; otherwise 0.7%
FMalta< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
GLatvia< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
JLiechtenstein< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
ISan Marino (E)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(E) Eliminated

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