PL: Man City up in lead after merseyside derby

Expected Outcome
Team	Points	Expected +/-	Champ%	Top4%
Man City	91.1	98-28	62.5	99.9
Liverpool	90	85-23	37.4	99.9
Tottenham	78.7	75-40	0.0948	86.1
Chelsea	74.9	69-41	0.0029	43.8
Arsenal	74	78-49	0.0005	36.6
Man United	73.9	75-49	0.0005	33.5

Man City up in lead after Liverpool lost two points in derby againts Everton. City lead with one point and the the remaining matches City take on average 0.1 points more than Liverpool.

City need to take 12 points to clinch CL. Similarly, Chelsea clinch CL, if they take another 13 points in the remaining 9 matches.

Tottenham now have a predicted 86% chance to reach top 4. They have more than 90% chance, if they take 17 (of 27) more points.

Chelsea have more than 50% chance, if they take 20 (of 30) more points

Arsenal have more than 50% chance, if they take 19 (of 27) more points

Man United have more than 50% chance, if they take 18 (of 27) more points