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| Team | Semi | Final | Champ |
| Barcelona | 88% | 56% | 33% |
| Liverpool | 92% | 44% | 20% |
| Juventus | 77% | 40% | 20% |
| Man City | 40% | 22% | 12% |
| Tottenham | 60% | 26% | 11% |
| Ajax | 23% | 6% | 2% |
| Man United | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Porto | 8% | 2% | <1% |
City vs Tottenham is the most uncertain of the quarterfinals with 60% chance for Spurs. Figure below shows how the teams' chances have evolved over time. Barcelona went from 77% against Man United to 88% with a 1-0 away win. Liverpool almost killed their match against Porto with 2-0 at home and went from 69% to 92%. Juventus and Ajax stayed at 77% and 23%, respectively, after 1-1 draw in Amsterdam.
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