CL: Math Day 2

Group E
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
65%	2	4	2-0	Napoli	86% if they win against Salzburg; otherwise 42%
94%	2	3	4-5	Liverpool	98% if they draw (or win) against Salzburg; otherwise 79%
38%	2	3	9-6	Salzburg	61% if they draw (or win) against Napoli; otherwise 17%
3%	2	1	2-6	Genk	16% if they win against Napoli; otherwise 0.7%

Liverpool favorites to win the group before Napoli. Salzburg and Napoli play in round 3 and 4 and the result in those matches will very much determine whether Salzburg can challenge Napoli about a spot in last 16.

Group F
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
81%	2	4	2-0	Dortmund	95% if they win against Inter; otherwise 62%
97%	2	4	2-1	Barcelona	98.8% if they draw (or win) against Inter; otherwise 90%
18%	2	1	2-3	Inter	36% if they draw (or win) against Dortmund; otherwise 4%
5%	2	1	1-3	Slavia Praha	22% if they win against Dortmund; otherwise 2%

Barcelona and Dortmund deliver while Inter only have one point so far. They need good results against Dortmund in the next two matches.

Group G
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
48%	2	4	4-2	Zenit	73% if they win against Lyon; otherwise 28%
58%	2	4	3-1	Lyon	86% if they win against Zenit; otherwise 45%
68%	2	3	2-3	RB Leipzig	87% if they win against Zenit; otherwise 54%
26%	2	0	2-5	Benfica	49% if they win against Lyon; otherwise 13%

The most open group is even more open after two matches. Benfica a disappointment so far.

Group H
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
88%	2	6	6-0	Ajax	98% if they win against Valencia; otherwise 77%
53%	2	3	1-3	Valencia	71% if they draw (or win) against Chelsea; otherwise 17%
56%	2	3	2-2	Chelsea	89% if they win against Valencia; otherwise 38%
3%	2	0	1-5	Lille	17% if they win against Chelsea; otherwise 1%

Ajax have taken the command in this three-horse race. They play Chelsea next while Valencia play must-win matches against Lille.