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| Group C | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Netherlands (P) | 5 | 12 | 99.75% | 64% | 99.08% | 100% | |
| Germany (P) | 5 | 12 | 99.67% | 36% | 99.04% | 100% | 99.87% if they win against Estonia; otherwise 98.9% |
| Northern Ireland | 6 | 12 | 17% | < 1% | 1.9% | 99.27% | |
| Belarus (h) | 6 | 4 | 17% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | |
| Estonia (E) | 6 | 1 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(h) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched playoff
(E) Eliminated
Netherlands and Germany will most likely take the two spots in this group. Northern Ireland have matches against Germany and Netherlands left. Northern Ireland need other countries in League B to qualify in order to get a second chance in the playoff.
| Group E | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Croatia (P) | 6 | 13 | 98.2% | 82% | 95.4% | 100% | 99.7% if they draw (or win) against Wales; otherwise 95% |
| Slovakia | 6 | 10 | 58% | 6% | 42% | 99.99% | 64% if Croatia draw (or win) against Wales; otherwise 45% |
| Hungary | 6 | 9 | 26% | 1.0% | 16% | 82% | 30% if they win against Azerbaijan; otherwise 14% |
| Wales | 5 | 7 | 62% | 12% | 46% | >99.99% | 82% if they win against Croatia; otherwise 52% |
| Azerbaijan (E) | 5 | 1 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(E) Eliminated
Croatia and Wales play a somewhat of a group final on Sunday.
| Group G | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Poland (P) | 7 | 16 | 99.05% | 90% | 98.4% | 100% | qualified if they win against North Macedonia; otherwise 96% |
| Slovenia | 7 | 12 | 43% | 6% | 43% | 43% | 91% if they win against Austria; otherwise 16% |
| Austria (P) | 7 | 11 | 68% | 3.0% | 54% | 100% | 86% if they draw (or win) against Slovenia; otherwise 35% |
| North Macedonia (H) | 7 | 11 | 31% | < 1% | 4.0% | 100% | 40% if they win against Poland; otherwise 30% |
| Israel | 7 | 8 | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | 95% | 11% if Austria draw (or win) against Slovenia; otherwise 9% |
| Latvia (E) | 7 | 0 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(P) Clinched playoff
(E) Eliminated
Poland are likely to clinch one the top two spots. Austria and Slovenia will play on Sunday in a very important match. Slovenia need to win to have a good chance.
| Group I | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Belgium (Q) | 7 | 21 | 100% | 94% | 100% | 100% | |
| Russia (P) | 7 | 18 | >99.99% | 6% | >99.99% | 100% | |
| Cyprus | 7 | 10 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Kazakhstan (E) | 7 | 7 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Scotland (p) | 7 | 6 | 25% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | |
| San Marino (E) | 7 | 0 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(P) Clinched playoff
(p) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched home advantage in playoff
(E) Eliminated
Belgium have clinched qualification and Russia are very likely to join them. They play Cyprus on Sunday and a draw there will clinch qualification.
| League A | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| D | Switzerland (H) | 84% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 98.9% if they win against Ireland; otherwise 84% | |
| B | Portugal (H) | 97.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 99.8% if they draw (or win) against Ukraine; otherwise 98.2% | |
| C | Netherlands (P) | 99.08% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| A | England (P) | 99.91% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Belgium (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | France (P) | 98.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 99.95% if they draw (or win) against Iceland; otherwise 98% | |
| F | Spain (P) | 99.98% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| J | Italy (H) | >99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| E | Croatia (P) | 95.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 99.7% if they draw (or win) against Wales; otherwise 95% | |
| G | Poland (P) | 98.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | qualified if they win against North Macedonia; otherwise 96% | |
| C | Germany (P) | 99.04% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.87% if they win against Estonia; otherwise 98.9% | |
| H | Iceland | 16% | 84% | 84% | 82% | 52% if they win against France; otherwise 37% | |
| League B | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| J | Bosnia/Herzeg (H) | 4.9% | 95.1% | 95.1% | 95.1% | 32% if they win against Finland; otherwise 25% | |
| B | Ukraine (H) | 97.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 99.88% if they win against Lithuania; otherwise 87% | |
| D | Denmark (P) | 68% | 32% | 32% | 31% | 94% if they win against Switzerland; otherwise 76% | |
| F | Sweden (P) | 68% | 32% | 32% | 21% | 94% if they win against Spain; otherwise 75% | |
| I | Russia (P) | >99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Austria (P) | 54% | 46% | 28% | 32% | 86% if they draw (or win) against Slovenia; otherwise 35% | |
| E | Wales | 46% | 54% | 37% | 28% | 82% if they win against Croatia; otherwise 52% | |
| A | Czechia | 81% | 19% | 11% | 8% | 94% if they win against England; otherwise 83% | |
| E | Slovakia | 42% | 58% | 40% | 24% | 64% if Croatia draw (or win) against Wales; otherwise 45% | |
| H | Turkey | 85% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 97% if they draw (or win) against France; otherwise 87% | |
| D | Ireland | 48% | 52% | 37% | 9% | 94% if they win against Switzerland; otherwise 55% | |
| C | Northern Ireland | 1.9% | 97.4% | 70% | 12% | ||
| League C | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| I | Scotland (p) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||
| F | Norway (H) | 9% | 91% | 91% | 91% | 52% if they win against Romania; otherwise 33% | |
| B | Serbia (P) | 4.5% | 95.5% | 95.5% | 9% | 50% if Lithuania draw (or win) against Ukraine; otherwise 36% | |
| J | Finland (P) | 91% | 9% | 9% | < 1% | 96% if they draw (or win) against Armenia; otherwise 71% | |
| A | Bulgaria | < 1% | 99.74% | 39% | 17% | 12% if Austria draw (or win) against Slovenia; otherwise 9.2% | |
| G | Israel | < 1% | 94% | 35% | 4.8% | 11% if Austria draw (or win) against Slovenia; otherwise 9% | |
| E | Hungary | 16% | 66% | 21% | < 1% | 30% if they win against Azerbaijan; otherwise 14% | |
| F | Romania | 22% | 33% | 10% | < 1% | 41% if they win against Norway; otherwise 19% | |
| J | Greece | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% if they win against Italy; otherwise 0.04% | |
| H | Albania | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% if they win against Turkey; otherwise 0.02% | |
| A | Montenegro | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Cyprus | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| C | Estonia (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Slovenia | 43% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 91% if they win against Austria; otherwise 16% | |
| B | Lithuania (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| League D | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| D | Georgia (H) | < 1% | 99.89% | 99.89% | 99.89% | ||
| G | North Macedonia (H) | 4.0% | 96.0% | 96.0% | 96.0% | 40% if they win against Poland; otherwise 30% | |
| A | Kosovo (P) | 19% | 81% | 81% | 3.4% | 43% if they win against Montenegro; otherwise 32% | |
| C | Belarus (h) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | ||
| B | Luxembourg | < 1% | 22% | 22% | < 1% | ||
| J | Armenia | 3.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 25% if they win against Finland; otherwise 0.6% | |
| F | Faroe Islands (x) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Andorra (x) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Moldova (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| E | Azerbaijan (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| D | Gibraltar (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Kazakhstan (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Latvia (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| J | Liechtenstein (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| F | Malta (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | San Marino (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(h) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched playoff
(p) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched home advantage in playoff
(x) Cannot qualify directly, but possibly via playoff
(E) Eliminated
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