Tuesday, February 18, 2020

CL: Leg 1 Atletic - Liverpool and Dortmund - PSG

Liverpool are 84% favorites against Atletico. Below are the chances for the teams given different results in the first leg. They need a 2-2 draw or better result to keep their chance at 84%.

ChanceTeamResultTeamChanceProbability
78%Atletico3-0Liverpool22%1%
61%Atletico2-0Liverpool39%3%
52%Atletico3-1Liverpool48%2%
42%Atletico1-0Liverpool58%5%
33%Atletico2-1Liverpool67%6%
27%Atletico3-2Liverpool73%2%
24%Atletico0-0Liverpool76%5%
18%Atletico1-1Liverpool82%10%
13%Atletico2-2Liverpool87%6%
11%Atletico3-3Liverpool89%1%
8%Atletico0-1Liverpool92%9%
6%Atletico1-2Liverpool94%10%
4%Atletico2-3Liverpool96%4%
2%Atletico0-2Liverpool98%8%
1%Atletico1-3Liverpool99%6%
< 1%Atletico2-4Liverpool99%2%
< 1%Atletico0-3Liverpool100%5%
< 1%Atletico1-4Liverpool100%3%
< 1%Atletico0-4Liverpool100%2%
< 1%Atletico1-5Liverpool100%1%


Paris are the 60% favorites against Dortmund. Below are the chances given different results in the first leg. Paris need a 1-1 draw or better to keep their chances at 60%.

ChanceTeamResultTeamChanceProbability
96%Dortmund4-0Paris SG4%1%
90%Dortmund3-0Paris SG10%3%
86%Dortmund4-1Paris SG14%2%
79%Dortmund2-0Paris SG21%6%
72%Dortmund3-1Paris SG28%5%
68%Dortmund4-2Paris SG32%1%
62%Dortmund1-0Paris SG38%8%
52%Dortmund2-1Paris SG48%9%
46%Dortmund3-2Paris SG54%3%
41%Dortmund0-0Paris SG59%5%
34%Dortmund1-1Paris SG66%11%
26%Dortmund2-2Paris SG74%6%
23%Dortmund3-3Paris SG77%2%
19%Dortmund0-1Paris SG81%7%
14%Dortmund1-2Paris SG86%8%
10%Dortmund2-3Paris SG90%3%
7%Dortmund0-2Paris SG93%5%
4%Dortmund1-3Paris SG96%4%
2%Dortmund0-3Paris SG98%2%
1%Dortmund1-4Paris SG99%1%





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