Watford can clinch a new contract if they take more points against City (home) than Villa take against Arsenal (home). Arsenal must win to have a chance at top-7. With two matches left they are trailing Spurs with five points (and six goals) and six points (and five goals) behind Wolves. Wolves have Chelsea away in the last match while Tottenham play Crystal Palace.
| Team | Pld | GD | Pts | average GD | average Pts | CL | EL | Contract |
| 1. Liverpool | 36 | +48 | 93 | +51.1 | 97.6 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 2. Man City | 36 | +58 | 75 | +61.5 | 79.7 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 3. Chelsea | 36 | +15 | 63 | +14.1 | 65.4 | 83% | 100% | 100% |
| 4. Leicester | 37 | +28 | 62 | +28.6 | 63.8 | 56% | 100% | 100% |
| 5. Man United | 36 | +28 | 62 | +28.5 | 65 | 62% | 100% | 100% |
| 6. Wolves | 37 | +13 | 59 | +12.1 | 59.8 | < 1% | 75% | 100% |
| 7. Tottenham | 37 | +14 | 58 | +14.1 | 59.5 | < 1% | 70% | 100% |
| 8. Sheffield United | 37 | +2 | 54 | +1.55 | 55.1 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 9. Burnley | 37 | -6 | 54 | -5.25 | 55.9 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 10. Arsenal | 36 | +8 | 53 | +9.5 | 56.7 | < 1% | 56% | 100% |
| 11. Everton | 37 | -10 | 49 | -8.97 | 51 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 12. Southampton | 37 | -11 | 49 | -10.5 | 50.7 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 13. Newcastle | 37 | -18 | 44 | -19.4 | 44.6 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 14. Crystal Palace | 37 | -19 | 42 | -19.1 | 43.3 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 15. Brighton | 37 | -16 | 38 | -16.7 | 38.9 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 16. West Ham | 36 | -13 | 37 | -13.3 | 39.6 | < 1% | < 1% | >99.99% |
| 17. Watford | 36 | -23 | 34 | -25.2 | 35.5 | < 1% | < 1% | 78% |
| 18. Aston Villa | 36 | -27 | 31 | -28.2 | 33 | < 1% | < 1% | 17% |
| 19. Bournemouth | 37 | -27 | 31 | -28 | 31.8 | < 1% | < 1% | 5.0% |
| 20. Norwich | 37 | -44 | 21 | -46.4 | 21.3 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications |
| Leicester have 94% chance if they win against Man United; otherwise 14.6% |
| Man United have 92.8% chance if they draw (or win) against Leicester; otherwise 32.9% |
| Chelsea have 100% chance if they win against Wolves; otherwise 59% |
| Chelsea have 100% chance if Man United win against Leicester; otherwise 76.6% |
| Man United have 68.9% chance if they draw (or win) against West Ham; otherwise 28.9% |
| Man United have 78.7% chance if Wolves draw (or win) against Chelsea; otherwise 49.2% |
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| The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications |
| Wolves have 100% chance if they win against Chelsea; otherwise 68% |
| Arsenal have 67.7% chance if they win against Aston Villa; otherwise 45.1% |
| Tottenham have 75.3% chance if Chelsea draw (or win) against Wolves; otherwise 49% |
| Tottenham have 75.5% chance if Aston Villa draw (or win) against Arsenal; otherwise 63% |
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| The Most Important Events for New Contract |
| Aston Villa have 39.7% chance if they win against Arsenal; otherwise 6.73% |
| Aston Villa have 44.9% chance if they win against West Ham; otherwise 8.42% |
| Watford have 87.4% chance if Arsenal draw (or win) against Aston Villa; otherwise 57.3% |
| Watford have 93.9% chance if they draw (or win) against Man City; otherwise 68.7% |
| Watford have 85.9% chance if West Ham draw (or win) against Aston Villa; otherwise 52.6% |
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