PL Predictions of season 20/21

 Table below is based on 1,000,000 simulations of the 20/21 season. It shows the average point won and 95% of the time the team finish with points indicated by 95% CI. The table also shows the probability the team wins the league, top 4 et cetera.

	Average Simulated Season			Chances
Team	Pts	95% CI	GD	Bottom 3	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Champion
1. Liverpool	81.9	(68 - 95)	+50.7	< 1%	99.93%	99.83%	99.55%	98.8%	56%
2. Man City	79.6	(65 - 93)	+46.3	< 1%	99.82%	99.56%	99.0%	97.5%	39%
3. Man United	67.8	(53 - 83)	+24.9	< 1%	92%	87%	79%	66%	3.5%
4. Chelsea	62.6	(47 - 78)	+16.1	< 1%	77%	67%	54%	38%	< 1%
5. Tottenham	61.0	(46 - 76)	+13.3	< 1%	70%	59%	45%	30%	< 1%
6. Arsenal	60.4	(45 - 76)	+12.3	< 1%	67%	55%	42%	27%	< 1%
7. Wolves	57.8	(43 - 73)	+8.1	< 1%	54%	42%	29%	17%	< 1%
8. Leicester	55.4	(40 - 71)	+4.1	1.3%	41%	30%	20%	11%	< 1%
9. Burnley	51.1	(36 - 66)	-3.1	4.4%	21%	14%	8%	3.8%	< 1%
10. Southampton	50.8	(36 - 66)	-3.5	4.6%	21%	13%	8%	3.6%	< 1%
11. Everton	50.2	(35 - 65)	-4.5	5%	18%	12%	7%	3.1%	< 1%
12. Sheffield United	47.6	(33 - 63)	-8.9	10%	11%	6%	3.4%	1.5%	< 1%
13. West Ham	46.7	(32 - 62)	-10.5	12%	9%	5%	2.6%	1.1%	< 1%
14. Newcastle	45.7	(31 - 61)	-12.1	15%	7%	4.0%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%
15. Crystal Palace	45.3	(31 - 60)	-12.9	16%	6%	3.5%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
16. Brighton	43.1	(29 - 58)	-16.7	24%	3.5%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
17. Leeds	39.8	(26 - 55)	-22.5	40%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
18. Aston Villa	39.0	(25 - 54)	-23.9	45%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
19. West Brom	36.4	(23 - 51)	-28.7	60%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
20. Fulham	36.1	(22 - 51)	-29.1	61%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%