PL: Predictions after gameday 1

Predictions after gameday 1 and four matches.

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
3	Liverpool	82.3	+49	< 1%	99.94%	99.85%	99.60%	98.9%	57%
0	Man City	79.6	+46	< 1%	99.82%	99.56%	98.9%	97.4%	38%
0	Man United	67.8	+25	< 1%	92%	86%	78%	65%	3.4%
0	Chelsea	62.6	+16	< 1%	77%	66%	53%	37%	< 1%
3	Arsenal	61.6	+15	< 1%	72%	61%	48%	32%	< 1%
0	Tottenham	60.9	+13	< 1%	69%	58%	44%	29%	< 1%
0	Wolves	57.8	+8	< 1%	54%	41%	29%	17%	< 1%
0	Leicester	55.4	+4	1.2%	41%	29%	19%	10%	< 1%
0	Burnley	51.1	-3	4.3%	21%	14%	8%	3.7%	< 1%
0	Everton	50.3	-4	5%	18%	11%	6%	3.0%	< 1%
0	Southampton	49.6	-4	6%	16%	10%	5%	2.4%	< 1%
3	Newcastle	47.7	-10	9%	10%	6%	3.1%	1.3%	< 1%
0	Sheffield United	47.6	-9	10%	11%	6%	3.2%	1.4%	< 1%
3	Crystal Palace	46.7	-12	12%	8%	4.6%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%
0	West Ham	45.0	-13	17%	6%	3.0%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Brighton	43.1	-17	24%	3.4%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Leeds	39.5	-21	41%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Aston Villa	39.0	-24	44%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	West Brom	36.4	-29	59%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Fulham	35.1	-32	66%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%