Premier League

 

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
3	Liverpool	82.3	+49	< 1%	99.94%	99.85%	99.60%	98.9%	57%
0	Man City	79.6	+46	< 1%	99.80%	99.54%	98.9%	97.4%	37%
0	Man United	67.8	+25	< 1%	91%	86%	78%	66%	3.4%
0	Chelsea	62.6	+16	< 1%	76%	66%	53%	38%	< 1%
3	Arsenal	61.6	+15	< 1%	72%	61%	48%	32%	< 1%
0	Tottenham	59.0	+11	< 1%	59%	47%	34%	21%	< 1%
0	Wolves	57.8	+8	< 1%	53%	41%	29%	17%	< 1%
3	Leicester	56.8	+7	< 1%	48%	36%	24%	14%	< 1%
3	Everton	52.4	-3	2.8%	25%	17%	10%	5%	< 1%
0	Burnley	51.1	-3	4.2%	21%	13%	8%	3.8%	< 1%
0	Southampton	49.7	-4	6%	16%	10%	5%	2.5%	< 1%
3	Newcastle	47.7	-10	9%	10%	6%	3.1%	1.3%	< 1%
0	Sheffield United	47.6	-9	9%	10%	6%	3.3%	1.4%	< 1%
3	Crystal Palace	46.7	-12	11%	8%	4.6%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%
0	West Ham	45.0	-13	16%	5%	3.0%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Brighton	43.1	-17	24%	3.3%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Leeds	39.5	-21	40%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Aston Villa	39.0	-24	44%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	West Brom	35.2	-31	66%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Fulham	35.1	-32	66%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%