CL: After Matchday 2

The most interesting match next week is the one between PSG and Leipzig. If Leipzig win they have 67% chance and PSG only 39%; otherwise Leipzig have 20% and PSG have 83%.

In Group B Shakhtar have a good chance (80%) if they beat Gladbach and otherwise only 43%.

In Group F, Brugge have an important match against Dortmund, with 70% chance if they win and otherwise only 30%.

In Group C, Porta have 74% if they beat Marseille and City at least take a point against Olympiakos; otherwise only 38%.

In Group E, Chelsea can almost clinch (97%) if they win against Rennes; otherwise they have 72%.

		Chance in Group			Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 16	Quarter	Semi	Final	Champ
A	Bayern	< 1%	9%	90%	99.13%	80%	59%	42%	27%
D	Liverpool	1.8%	13%	85%	98.2%	72%	48%	29%	16%
C	Man City	1.6%	8%	91%	98.4%	69%	43%	25%	13%
G	Barcelona	< 1%	8%	91%	99.54%	71%	43%	24%	12%
H	Paris SG	33%	46%	20%	66%	37%	20%	10%	4.8%
A	Atletico	12%	76%	9%	85%	46%	22%	10%	4.3%
B	Real Madrid	25%	28%	28%	55%	33%	18%	9%	4.0%
H	Man United	4.9%	23%	71%	95%	52%	23%	9%	3.6%
E	Sevilla	5%	35%	59%	94%	50%	22%	9%	3.5%
G	Juventus	6%	84%	9%	93%	37%	15%	6%	2.0%
F	Dortmund	18%	30%	46%	76%	36%	14%	5%	1.9%
E	Chelsea	10%	51%	38%	89%	39%	14%	4.7%	1.6%
D	Atalanta	29%	56%	13%	69%	27%	11%	3.7%	1.3%
B	Inter	26%	25%	22%	47%	21%	9%	3.2%	1.2%
H	RB Leipzig	57%	30%	9%	39%	18%	8%	2.9%	1.1%
B	Shakhtar	22%	27%	35%	61%	22%	7%	1.7%	< 1%
C	Porto	29%	51%	4.6%	55%	16%	4.4%	1.1%	< 1%
B	Gladbach	27%	21%	15%	37%	13%	3.8%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Lazio	22%	34%	33%	67%	19%	4.8%	1.0%	< 1%
D	Ajax	56%	29%	2.1%	31%	10%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Olympiakos	46%	30%	4.3%	34%	9%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Salzburg	57%	10%	< 1%	11%	3.7%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Brugge	39%	25%	17%	42%	9%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Zenit	20%	10%	3.6%	14%	3.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Marseille	24%	12%	< 1%	12%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Rennes	49%	11%	2.3%	13%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	FC Krasnodar	35%	4.1%	< 1%	4.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Lok Moskva	30%	4.3%	< 1%	4.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Dynamo Kyiv	61%	3.6%	< 1%	3.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Bueyueksehir	4.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Ferencvaros	33%	3.6%	< 1%	3.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Midtjylland	12%	1.6%	< 1%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%