PL: Predictions After Match Day 4

Predictions after Match Day 4

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
9	Liverpool	82.2	+45	< 1%	99.94%	99.86%	99.63%	99.05%	65%
4	Man City	77.5	+42	< 1%	99.59%	99.10%	98.1%	95.8%	30%
3	Man United	64.9	+16	< 1%	83%	74%	63%	48%	1.7%
9	Arsenal	63.0	+14	< 1%	75%	65%	52%	37%	< 1%
7	Chelsea	63.0	+18	< 1%	76%	66%	53%	38%	< 1%
7	Tottenham	61.7	+19	< 1%	71%	59%	46%	32%	< 1%
9	Leicester	58.5	+9	< 1%	53%	41%	29%	18%	< 1%
6	Wolves	57.8	+4	< 1%	48%	36%	25%	15%	< 1%
12	Everton	56.3	+2	< 1%	40%	28%	18%	10%	< 1%
6	Southampton	51.1	-5	3.8%	17%	10%	6%	2.8%	< 1%
6	West Ham	48.0	-5	8%	9%	5.0%	2.6%	1.1%	< 1%
7	Newcastle	47.7	-10	9%	8%	4.4%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Burnley	47.2	-8	10%	8%	4.3%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%
6	Crystal Palace	46.9	-13	11%	6%	3.5%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
7	Leeds	43.2	-18	24%	2.2%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
6	Aston Villa	42.9	-17	25%	2.2%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Sheffield United	42.2	-14	27%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
3	Brighton	42.0	-16	29%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
1	West Brom	33.8	-34	75%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Fulham	33.6	-31	75%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%