PL: Predictions after Matchday 3

 

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
9	Liverpool	84.4	+51	< 1%	99.98%	99.95%	99.85%	99.56%	69%
3	Man City	78.6	+43	< 1%	99.74%	99.40%	98.6%	96.8%	27%
3	Man United	66.8	+22	< 1%	89%	83%	73%	60%	2.0%
4	Chelsea	62.1	+16	< 1%	74%	63%	49%	34%	< 1%
6	Arsenal	62.0	+15	< 1%	73%	62%	48%	33%	< 1%
9	Leicester	60.5	+13	< 1%	65%	53%	40%	26%	< 1%
4	Tottenham	59.6	+13	< 1%	61%	49%	36%	22%	< 1%
3	Wolves	57.0	+5	< 1%	46%	34%	23%	13%	< 1%
9	Everton	55.2	+1	1.1%	36%	25%	16%	9%	< 1%
3	Southampton	50.2	-6	4.9%	15%	9%	5%	2.3%	< 1%
0	Burnley	48.4	-6	8%	11%	7%	3.5%	1.5%	< 1%
6	Crystal Palace	47.6	-10	9%	8%	4.9%	2.5%	1.0%	< 1%
4	Newcastle	46.2	-12	12%	6%	3.4%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
3	West Ham	45.8	-9	13%	6%	3.1%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Sheffield United	43.0	-14	23%	2.7%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
3	Brighton	42.9	-15	24%	2.4%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
6	Leeds	42.8	-19	25%	2.4%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
3	Aston Villa	40.5	-23	37%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
1	West Brom	34.5	-33	70%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Fulham	34.1	-32	72%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%