CL: Matchday 4

Group A

Bayern have clinched a spot in last 16.

Atletico clinch a spot if the win against Bayern and Moskva fail to win against Salzburg.

Group B

Real clinch spot in last 16 if they win against Shakhtar

Gladbach clinch spot if they take a point against Inter and Real take a point against Shakhtar

Group C

Man City have clinched a spot in last 16

Porto clinch a spot if Olympiakos fail to win against Marseille

Group D

Liverpool clinch spot in last 16 if they take a point against Ajax

Group E

Sevilla and Chelsea have clinched spot in last 16

Group F

Dortmund clinch spot in last 16 if they take a point against Lazio or Zenit take a point against Brugge

Lazio clinch spot in last 16 if they they beat Dortmund or Zenit beat Brugge

Group G

Barcelona and Juventus have clinched a spot in last 16

Group H

Man United clinch a spot in last 16 if they take a point against PSG

 

		Chance in Group			Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 16	Quarter	Semi	Final	Champ
A	Bayern	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	81%	58%	41%	26%
D	Liverpool	1.6%	12%	87%	98.4%	73%	48%	30%	17%
C	Man City	< 1%	4.5%	95.5%	100%	72%	45%	26%	14%
G	Barcelona	< 1%	6%	94%	100%	70%	40%	22%	11%
B	Real Madrid	10%	31%	58%	89%	54%	29%	14%	6%
A	Atletico	24%	75%	< 1%	75%	39%	20%	9%	4.1%
H	Man United	11%	19%	69%	89%	49%	22%	9%	3.6%
H	Paris SG	37%	40%	22%	62%	32%	16%	8%	3.4%
E	Chelsea	< 1%	51%	49%	100%	48%	21%	8%	3.0%
E	Sevilla	< 1%	49%	51%	100%	48%	20%	7%	2.8%
F	Dortmund	< 1%	24%	75%	99.37%	47%	19%	7%	2.6%
G	Juventus	< 1%	94%	6%	100%	38%	16%	6%	2.1%
H	RB Leipzig	49%	40%	9%	49%	19%	8%	3.0%	1.1%
D	Atalanta	46%	47%	7%	54%	20%	7%	2.5%	< 1%
B	Gladbach	15%	46%	39%	85%	30%	9%	2.5%	< 1%
C	Porto	1.9%	94%	4.5%	98.1%	25%	7%	1.6%	< 1%
D	Ajax	52%	42%	6%	48%	15%	4.5%	1.2%	< 1%
F	Lazio	12%	64%	25%	88%	23%	6%	1.3%	< 1%
B	Inter	35%	13%	< 1%	13%	4.5%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Salzburg	41%	15%	< 1%	15%	4.9%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Shakhtar	40%	10%	3.3%	13%	4.1%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Brugge	66%	12%	< 1%	12%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Olympiakos	87%	1.9%	< 1%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Lok Moskva	35%	10%	< 1%	10%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Bueyueksehir	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Dynamo Kyiv	71%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Rennes	58%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	FC Krasnodar	42%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Ferencvaros	29%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Zenit	21%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Marseille	11%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Midtjylland	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%