CL: After Matchday 6

 Predicted chances before the draw of knock-out stage

 

		Chance in Group			Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 16	Quarter	Semi	Final	Champ
A	Bayern	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	83%	61%	45%	29%
D	Liverpool	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	74%	48%	29%	16%
C	Man City	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	70%	43%	25%	13%
G	Barcelona	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	47%	25%	13%	6%
E	Chelsea	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	60%	29%	13%	6%
H	Paris SG	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	61%	29%	13%	5%
A	Atletico	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	49%	24%	11%	4.9%
B	Real Madrid	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	63%	28%	12%	4.8%
G	Juventus	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	54%	22%	8%	3.2%
H	RB Leipzig	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	43%	19%	8%	3.2%
F	Dortmund	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	51%	21%	8%	3.0%
E	Sevilla	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	33%	12%	4.3%	1.5%
B	Gladbach	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	32%	11%	3.5%	1.1%
D	Atalanta	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	31%	11%	3.3%	1.1%
C	Porto	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	30%	9%	2.6%	< 1%
F	Lazio	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	21%	6%	1.4%	< 1%