PL: Mathcweek 11

 Tottenham and Chelsea are now contenders with a substantial chance in the title race.

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
24	Liverpool	80.9	+43	< 1%	99.94%	99.81%	99.34%	97.7%	62%
18	Man City	75.2	+37	< 1%	99.23%	98.1%	95.2%	88%	20%
24	Tottenham	71.2	+30	< 1%	96.8%	93%	86%	71%	8%
22	Chelsea	70.5	+32	< 1%	95.9%	92%	83%	67%	7%
19	Man United	67.4	+18	< 1%	90%	81%	67%	45%	2.7%
21	Leicester	61.1	+11	< 1%	62%	46%	28%	14%	< 1%
20	Southampton	57.7	+4	< 1%	40%	25%	13%	5%	< 1%
17	Wolves	57.5	+1	< 1%	38%	24%	12%	5%	< 1%
13	Arsenal	55.1	+4	< 1%	27%	15%	7%	2.7%	< 1%
17	West Ham	53.9	+3	< 1%	21%	12%	5.0%	1.8%	< 1%
17	Everton	52.4	-2	< 1%	15%	8%	3.1%	1.0%	< 1%
14	Newcastle	48.9	-10	2.0%	6%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
16	Crystal Palace	47.8	-9	2.3%	4.2%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
12	Aston Villa	46.3	-9	4.5%	3.3%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
14	Leeds	44.6	-16	7%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
9	Brighton	42.4	-13	12%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
6	Burnley	39.9	-22	22%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
7	Fulham	31.9	-32	74%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
1	Sheffield United	28.9	-29	86%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
5	West Brom	28.4	-43	90%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%