CL: Group A-D - Who qualify how?

 Group A

Salzburg host Atletico in match 6. Salzburg qualify if they win; otherwise Atletico qualify.

Group B

Inter host Shakhtar and Real Madrid host Gladbach

Gladbach qualify if take point against Real Madrid or Inter draw Shakhtar

Shakhtar qualify if they beat Inter or if they draw and Real do not beat Gladbach

Read Madrid qualify if they beat Gladbach or if they draw and Inter beat Shakhtar

Inter qualify if they beat Shakhtar and Read Madrid do not draw Gladbach 

Group C

Man City and Porto have qualified for last 16

Group D

Ajax host Atalanta in the last match. Ajax qualify if the win; otherwise Atalanta take the second spot.

		Chance in Group			Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 16	Quarter	Semi	Final	Champ
A	Bayern	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	81%	59%	41%	26%
D	Liverpool	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	75%	49%	31%	17%
C	Man City	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	72%	45%	26%	14%
G	Barcelona	< 1%	6%	94%	100%	71%	41%	22%	11%
B	Real Madrid	15%	25%	51%	76%	46%	24%	12%	6%
A	Atletico	24%	75%	< 1%	75%	38%	19%	9%	4.0%
H	Man United	11%	19%	69%	89%	49%	22%	9%	3.5%
H	Paris SG	37%	40%	22%	62%	32%	16%	8%	3.3%
E	Chelsea	< 1%	51%	49%	100%	48%	20%	8%	3.0%
E	Sevilla	< 1%	49%	51%	100%	48%	20%	7%	2.7%
F	Dortmund	< 1%	24%	75%	99.38%	48%	19%	7%	2.6%
G	Juventus	< 1%	94%	6%	100%	38%	15%	6%	2.1%
H	RB Leipzig	49%	40%	9%	48%	19%	8%	2.9%	1.1%
D	Atalanta	43%	57%	< 1%	57%	20%	8%	2.6%	< 1%
B	Inter	11%	45%	< 1%	45%	15%	6%	2.1%	< 1%
B	Gladbach	51%	19%	31%	49%	19%	6%	1.5%	< 1%
C	Porto	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	25%	7%	1.5%	< 1%
F	Lazio	12%	64%	25%	88%	23%	6%	1.3%	< 1%
D	Ajax	57%	43%	< 1%	43%	13%	3.8%	1.0%	< 1%
B	Shakhtar	23%	11%	19%	30%	11%	3.5%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Salzburg	41%	15%	< 1%	15%	4.8%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Brugge	66%	12%	< 1%	12%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Lok Moskva	35%	10%	< 1%	10%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Olympiakos	91%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Dynamo Kyiv	71%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Rennes	58%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	FC Krasnodar	42%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Ferencvaros	29%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Zenit	22%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Marseille	9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Bueyueksehir	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Midtjylland	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%