PL: Predictions after matchweek 10

 

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
21	Liverpool	80.3	+40	< 1%	99.91%	99.75%	99.33%	98.2%	64%
15	Man City	75.4	+39	< 1%	99.26%	98.3%	96.4%	92%	26%
21	Tottenham	67.6	+25	< 1%	90%	83%	73%	58%	4.1%
19	Chelsea	66.2	+26	< 1%	86%	78%	66%	50%	2.8%
16	Man United	65.8	+16	< 1%	84%	74%	62%	45%	2.4%
18	Leicester	60.7	+11	< 1%	59%	46%	32%	19%	< 1%
13	Arsenal	58.8	+10	< 1%	48%	35%	22%	12%	< 1%
17	Wolves	58.7	+4	< 1%	46%	33%	21%	12%	< 1%
17	Southampton	55.6	+2	< 1%	28%	18%	10%	5.0%	< 1%
17	West Ham	54.5	+4	< 1%	24%	15%	8%	4.1%	< 1%
16	Everton	53.9	+0	< 1%	21%	13%	7%	3.1%	< 1%
14	Newcastle	48.9	-10	2.7%	6%	3.0%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
14	Leeds	46.2	-13	6%	2.6%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
12	Aston Villa	45.8	-9	7%	2.8%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
13	Crystal Palace	45.7	-13	7%	2.3%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
9	Brighton	42.2	-14	16%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
5	Burnley	40.0	-22	27%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
1	Sheffield United	32.4	-24	72%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
5	West Brom	31.2	-36	81%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
7	Fulham	31.2	-34	81%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%