EL: Round of 16

 

Team	QF	Semi	Final	Champion
Man United	60%	42%	29%	18%
Tottenham	73%	46%	27%	15%
Arsenal	69%	42%	24%	13%
Villarreal	76%	43%	23%	12%
Ajax	68%	36%	18%	8%
Milan	40%	24%	14%	7%
Roma	50%	27%	13%	6%
Shakhtar	50%	26%	13%	6%
Granada	71%	27%	10%	4%
Rangers	53%	21%	8%	3%
Slavia Praha	47%	18%	6%	2%
Olympiakos	31%	13%	5%	2%
Dinamo Zagreb	27%	10%	4%	1%
Young Boys	32%	11%	3%	1%
Dynamo Kyiv	24%	7%	2%	< 1%
Molde	29%	6%	< 1%	< 1%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
29%	Ajax	1	-	2	Young Boys	71%	5%
37%	Ajax	0	-	1	Young Boys	63%	4%
46%	Ajax	2	-	2	Young Boys	54%	5%
55%	Ajax	1	-	1	Young Boys	45%	9%
62%	Ajax	0	-	0	Young Boys	38%	4%
73%	Ajax	2	-	1	Young Boys	27%	10%
80%	Ajax	1	-	0	Young Boys	20%	9%
87%	Ajax	3	-	1	Young Boys	13%	7%
92%	Ajax	2	-	0	Young Boys	8%	9%
97%	Ajax	3	-	0	Young Boys	3%	7%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
2%	Dynamo Kyiv	1	-	3	Villarreal	98%	5%
4%	Dynamo Kyiv	0	-	2	Villarreal	96%	7%
8%	Dynamo Kyiv	1	-	2	Villarreal	92%	9%
12%	Dynamo Kyiv	0	-	1	Villarreal	88%	8%
18%	Dynamo Kyiv	2	-	2	Villarreal	82%	6%
24%	Dynamo Kyiv	1	-	1	Villarreal	76%	11%
31%	Dynamo Kyiv	0	-	0	Villarreal	69%	5%
41%	Dynamo Kyiv	2	-	1	Villarreal	59%	7%
50%	Dynamo Kyiv	1	-	0	Villarreal	50%	7%
70%	Dynamo Kyiv	2	-	0	Villarreal	30%	4%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
18%	Roma	1	-	2	Shakhtar	82%	7%
25%	Roma	0	-	1	Shakhtar	75%	6%
33%	Roma	2	-	2	Shakhtar	67%	6%
41%	Roma	1	-	1	Shakhtar	59%	11%
49%	Roma	0	-	0	Shakhtar	51%	5%
61%	Roma	2	-	1	Shakhtar	39%	10%
70%	Roma	1	-	0	Shakhtar	30%	8%
78%	Roma	3	-	1	Shakhtar	22%	6%
85%	Roma	2	-	0	Shakhtar	15%	8%
94%	Roma	3	-	0	Shakhtar	6%	5%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
3%	Olympiakos	1	-	3	Arsenal	97%	4%
5%	Olympiakos	0	-	2	Arsenal	95%	6%
11%	Olympiakos	1	-	2	Arsenal	89%	9%
15%	Olympiakos	0	-	1	Arsenal	85%	8%
22%	Olympiakos	2	-	2	Arsenal	78%	6%
29%	Olympiakos	1	-	1	Arsenal	71%	11%
36%	Olympiakos	0	-	0	Arsenal	64%	5%
47%	Olympiakos	2	-	1	Arsenal	53%	8%
56%	Olympiakos	1	-	0	Arsenal	44%	7%
75%	Olympiakos	2	-	0	Arsenal	25%	5%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
32%	Tottenham	1	-	2	Dinamo Zagreb	68%	4%
49%	Tottenham	2	-	2	Dinamo Zagreb	51%	5%
58%	Tottenham	1	-	1	Dinamo Zagreb	42%	9%
76%	Tottenham	2	-	1	Dinamo Zagreb	24%	10%
83%	Tottenham	1	-	0	Dinamo Zagreb	17%	9%
89%	Tottenham	3	-	1	Dinamo Zagreb	11%	7%
93%	Tottenham	2	-	0	Dinamo Zagreb	7%	10%
96%	Tottenham	4	-	1	Dinamo Zagreb	4%	4%
98%	Tottenham	3	-	0	Dinamo Zagreb	2%	7%
99%	Tottenham	4	-	0	Dinamo Zagreb	< 1%	4%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
24%	Man United	1	-	2	Milan	76%	6%
31%	Man United	0	-	1	Milan	69%	5%
40%	Man United	2	-	2	Milan	60%	6%
48%	Man United	1	-	1	Milan	52%	10%
56%	Man United	0	-	0	Milan	44%	4%
67%	Man United	2	-	1	Milan	33%	10%
76%	Man United	1	-	0	Milan	24%	9%
83%	Man United	3	-	1	Milan	17%	7%
89%	Man United	2	-	0	Milan	11%	9%
96%	Man United	3	-	0	Milan	4%	6%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
17%	Slavia Praha	1	-	2	Rangers	83%	7%
23%	Slavia Praha	0	-	1	Rangers	77%	6%
31%	Slavia Praha	2	-	2	Rangers	69%	6%
39%	Slavia Praha	1	-	1	Rangers	61%	11%
47%	Slavia Praha	0	-	0	Rangers	53%	5%
59%	Slavia Praha	2	-	1	Rangers	41%	9%
68%	Slavia Praha	1	-	0	Rangers	32%	8%
77%	Slavia Praha	3	-	1	Rangers	23%	5%
83%	Slavia Praha	2	-	0	Rangers	17%	7%
93%	Slavia Praha	3	-	0	Rangers	7%	4%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
31%	Granada	1	-	2	Molde	69%	5%
39%	Granada	0	-	1	Molde	61%	4%
48%	Granada	2	-	2	Molde	52%	5%
57%	Granada	1	-	1	Molde	43%	9%
75%	Granada	2	-	1	Molde	25%	10%
82%	Granada	1	-	0	Molde	18%	9%
88%	Granada	3	-	1	Molde	12%	7%
92%	Granada	2	-	0	Molde	8%	10%
96%	Granada	4	-	1	Molde	4%	4%
97%	Granada	3	-	0	Molde	3%	7%

CL: Predictions after 1st leg - round of 16

Four matches still alive with both teams having more than 10% chance.

 

Team	QF	Semi	Final	Champion
Bayern	100%	74%	54%	35%
Man City	96%	61%	37%	20%
Liverpool	94%	55%	30%	15%
Real Madrid	81%	39%	17%	7%
Paris SG	97%	40%	15%	6%
Atletico	34%	18%	9%	4%
Dortmund	85%	31%	10%	3%
Juventus	47%	20%	8%	3%
Chelsea	66%	25%	9%	3%
Porto	53%	18%	5%	2%
Sevilla	15%	6%	2%	< 1%
Atalanta	19%	7%	2%	< 1%
RB Leipzig	6%	3%	1%	< 1%
Barcelona	3%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
Gladbach	4%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
Lazio	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

CL: After match day 3 - round of 16

Team	QF	Semi	Final	Champion
Bayern	100%	75%	55%	36%
Man City	77%	49%	30%	16%
Liverpool	94%	56%	31%	15%
Paris SG	97%	41%	16%	6%
Real Madrid	62%	30%	13%	6%
Atletico	34%	19%	9%	4%
Dortmund	85%	32%	11%	4%
Chelsea	66%	26%	9%	3%
Juventus	47%	21%	8%	3%
Porto	53%	18%	6%	2%
Atalanta	38%	14%	5%	2%
Gladbach	23%	9%	3%	1%
Sevilla	15%	6%	2%	< 1%
RB Leipzig	6%	3%	1%	< 1%
Barcelona	3%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
Lazio	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
2%	Gladbach	1	-	3	Man City	98%	5%
4%	Gladbach	0	-	2	Man City	96%	7%
8%	Gladbach	1	-	2	Man City	92%	9%
12%	Gladbach	0	-	1	Man City	88%	8%
18%	Gladbach	2	-	2	Man City	82%	6%
24%	Gladbach	1	-	1	Man City	76%	11%
30%	Gladbach	0	-	0	Man City	70%	5%
41%	Gladbach	2	-	1	Man City	59%	7%
50%	Gladbach	1	-	0	Man City	50%	7%
69%	Gladbach	2	-	0	Man City	31%	4%

 

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
7%	Atalanta	0	-	2	Real Madrid	93%	5%
13%	Atalanta	1	-	2	Real Madrid	87%	8%
19%	Atalanta	0	-	1	Real Madrid	81%	7%
26%	Atalanta	2	-	2	Real Madrid	74%	6%
33%	Atalanta	1	-	1	Real Madrid	67%	11%
41%	Atalanta	0	-	0	Real Madrid	59%	5%
52%	Atalanta	2	-	1	Real Madrid	48%	9%
62%	Atalanta	1	-	0	Real Madrid	38%	8%
72%	Atalanta	3	-	1	Real Madrid	28%	5%
79%	Atalanta	2	-	0	Real Madrid	21%	6%

PL: Predictions after match day 25

Predictions after match day 25

 

Simulated points for winner: 84 - 90
Simulated points for fourth: 66 - 69
Simulated points for 17th team: 36 - 40

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
59	Man City	87.0	+52	< 1%	100%	100%	>99.99%	>99.99%	99.11%
49	Man United	70.7	+27	< 1%	99.11%	97.3%	93%	85%	< 1%
49	Leicester	69.4	+21	< 1%	98.2%	95.0%	89%	77%	< 1%
40	Liverpool	66.8	+26	< 1%	95.6%	90%	79%	61%	< 1%
43	Chelsea	64.3	+21	< 1%	86%	74%	56%	36%	< 1%
45	West Ham	62.6	+9	< 1%	74%	56%	36%	20%	< 1%
40	Everton	60.0	+5	< 1%	50%	33%	18%	8%	< 1%
36	Tottenham	59.7	+17	< 1%	54%	35%	20%	9%	< 1%
36	Aston Villa	55.4	+9	< 1%	20%	11%	4.8%	1.9%	< 1%
34	Arsenal	55.0	+10	< 1%	17%	8%	3.5%	1.2%	< 1%
35	Leeds	50.9	-4	< 1%	2.9%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
33	Wolves	50.4	-7	< 1%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
30	Southampton	48.0	-12	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
32	Crystal Palace	47.1	-19	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
28	Burnley	44.0	-15	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	Brighton	40.5	-12	8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
25	Newcastle	40.1	-22	13%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
22	Fulham	33.1	-23	77%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
14	West Brom	25.1	-48	99.30%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Sheffield United	24.4	-34	99.16%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Man City	73%	16%	11%	West Ham
West Brom	36%	24%	39%	Brighton
Leeds	46%	24%	30%	Aston Villa
Newcastle	41%	24%	35%	Wolves
Leicester	48%	24%	28%	Arsenal
Crystal Palace	59%	21%	20%	Fulham
Tottenham	61%	20%	18%	Burnley
Chelsea	45%	24%	31%	Man United
Sheffield United	17%	20%	63%	Liverpool
Everton	50%	23%	27%	Southampton

 

EL: Predictions after 1st leg of round of 32

Predictions after 1st leg of round of 32

Team	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champion
Man United	100%	69%	47%	31%	19%
Tottenham	100%	63%	38%	22%	12%
Milan	86%	50%	28%	15%	8%
Villarreal	93%	53%	29%	15%	8%
Leverkusen	67%	41%	24%	14%	7%
Arsenal	69%	42%	24%	14%	7%
Leicester	65%	38%	22%	12%	6%
Roma	95%	51%	26%	13%	6%
Shakhtar	97%	51%	25%	12%	6%
Ajax	85%	46%	23%	11%	5%
Hoffenheim	86%	40%	18%	7%	3%
Rangers	95%	39%	15%	6%	2%
Olympiakos	78%	32%	13%	5%	2%
Granada	78%	32%	12%	4%	2%
Brugge	67%	27%	10%	4%	1%
Dinamo Zagreb	92%	34%	12%	4%	1%
Napoli	22%	11%	6%	3%	1%
Benfica	31%	15%	6%	3%	1%
Slavia Praha	35%	14%	5%	2%	< 1%
Lille	15%	7%	3%	1%	< 1%
Young Boys	33%	11%	4%	1%	< 1%
Salzburg	7%	3%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
PSV	22%	8%	3%	< 1%	< 1%
Dynamo Kyiv	33%	10%	3%	< 1%	< 1%
Braga	5%	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Crvena Zvezda	14%	4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Molde	14%	3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
FC Krasnodar	8%	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Sociedad	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Antwerp	5%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
M Tel Aviv	3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Wolfsberg	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
57%	Roma	0	-	2	Braga	43%	3%
82%	Roma	1	-	2	Braga	18%	3%
86%	Roma	0	-	1	Braga	14%	11%
96%	Roma	1	-	1	Braga	4%	11%
97%	Roma	0	-	0	Braga	3%	20%
99%	Roma	1	-	0	Braga	< 1%	22%
99%	Roma	2	-	1	Braga	< 1%	6%
100%	Roma	2	-	0	Braga	< 1%	11%
100%	Roma	3	-	1	Braga	< 1%	2%
100%	Roma	3	-	0	Braga	< 1%	4%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
97%	Man United	0	-	2	Sociedad	3%	3%
99%	Man United	1	-	2	Sociedad	< 1%	3%
100%	Man United	0	-	1	Sociedad	< 1%	11%
100%	Man United	1	-	1	Sociedad	< 1%	11%
100%	Man United	0	-	0	Sociedad	< 1%	20%
100%	Man United	1	-	0	Sociedad	< 1%	22%
100%	Man United	2	-	1	Sociedad	< 1%	6%
100%	Man United	2	-	0	Sociedad	< 1%	12%
100%	Man United	3	-	1	Sociedad	< 1%	2%
100%	Man United	3	-	0	Sociedad	< 1%	4%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
6%	Leicester	0	-	2	Slavia Praha	94%	3%
20%	Leicester	0	-	1	Slavia Praha	80%	11%
20%	Leicester	1	-	2	Slavia Praha	80%	3%
49%	Leicester	1	-	1	Slavia Praha	51%	11%
57%	Leicester	0	-	0	Slavia Praha	43%	20%
82%	Leicester	1	-	0	Slavia Praha	18%	22%
82%	Leicester	2	-	1	Slavia Praha	18%	6%
96%	Leicester	2	-	0	Slavia Praha	4%	12%
96%	Leicester	3	-	1	Slavia Praha	4%	2%
99%	Leicester	3	-	0	Slavia Praha	< 1%	4%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
5%	Brugge	0	-	2	Dynamo Kyiv	95%	3%
17%	Brugge	1	-	2	Dynamo Kyiv	83%	3%
27%	Brugge	0	-	1	Dynamo Kyiv	73%	12%
54%	Brugge	1	-	1	Dynamo Kyiv	46%	12%
71%	Brugge	0	-	0	Dynamo Kyiv	29%	21%
79%	Brugge	2	-	1	Dynamo Kyiv	21%	6%
85%	Brugge	1	-	0	Dynamo Kyiv	15%	21%
95%	Brugge	2	-	0	Dynamo Kyiv	5%	10%
95%	Brugge	3	-	1	Dynamo Kyiv	5%	2%
99%	Brugge	3	-	0	Dynamo Kyiv	< 1%	3%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
15%	Milan	0	-	2	Crvena Zvezda	85%	2%
35%	Milan	1	-	2	Crvena Zvezda	65%	2%
52%	Milan	0	-	1	Crvena Zvezda	48%	8%
79%	Milan	1	-	1	Crvena Zvezda	21%	10%
86%	Milan	0	-	0	Crvena Zvezda	14%	18%
90%	Milan	2	-	1	Crvena Zvezda	10%	6%
96%	Milan	1	-	0	Crvena Zvezda	4%	23%
97%	Milan	3	-	1	Crvena Zvezda	3%	3%
98%	Milan	2	-	0	Crvena Zvezda	2%	14%
100%	Milan	3	-	0	Crvena Zvezda	< 1%	6%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
7%	Leverkusen	0	-	2	Young Boys	93%	2%
22%	Leverkusen	1	-	2	Young Boys	78%	3%
23%	Leverkusen	0	-	1	Young Boys	77%	9%
52%	Leverkusen	1	-	1	Young Boys	48%	11%
53%	Leverkusen	0	-	0	Young Boys	47%	19%
84%	Leverkusen	2	-	1	Young Boys	16%	6%
84%	Leverkusen	1	-	0	Young Boys	16%	22%
95%	Leverkusen	3	-	1	Young Boys	5%	2%
97%	Leverkusen	2	-	0	Young Boys	3%	13%
99%	Leverkusen	3	-	0	Young Boys	< 1%	5%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
< 1%	PSV	0	-	2	Olympiakos	100%	5%
2%	PSV	1	-	2	Olympiakos	98%	4%
3%	PSV	0	-	1	Olympiakos	97%	15%
7%	PSV	2	-	2	Olympiakos	93%	2%
11%	PSV	1	-	1	Olympiakos	89%	12%
12%	PSV	0	-	0	Olympiakos	88%	22%
33%	PSV	2	-	1	Olympiakos	67%	5%
36%	PSV	1	-	0	Olympiakos	64%	18%
71%	PSV	2	-	0	Olympiakos	29%	8%
90%	PSV	3	-	0	Olympiakos	10%	2%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
44%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	-	2	FC Krasnodar	56%	3%
73%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	-	2	FC Krasnodar	27%	3%
80%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	-	1	FC Krasnodar	20%	11%
94%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	-	1	FC Krasnodar	6%	12%
96%	Dinamo Zagreb	0	-	0	FC Krasnodar	4%	20%
97%	Dinamo Zagreb	2	-	1	FC Krasnodar	3%	6%
99%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	-	0	FC Krasnodar	1%	21%
99%	Dinamo Zagreb	3	-	1	FC Krasnodar	< 1%	2%
100%	Dinamo Zagreb	2	-	0	FC Krasnodar	< 1%	11%
100%	Dinamo Zagreb	3	-	0	FC Krasnodar	< 1%	4%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
98%	Tottenham	1	-	2	Wolfsberg	2%	2%
100%	Tottenham	0	-	1	Wolfsberg	< 1%	7%
100%	Tottenham	1	-	1	Wolfsberg	< 1%	10%
100%	Tottenham	0	-	0	Wolfsberg	< 1%	17%
100%	Tottenham	2	-	1	Wolfsberg	< 1%	6%
100%	Tottenham	1	-	0	Wolfsberg	< 1%	23%
100%	Tottenham	2	-	0	Wolfsberg	< 1%	16%
100%	Tottenham	3	-	1	Wolfsberg	< 1%	3%
100%	Tottenham	3	-	0	Wolfsberg	< 1%	7%
100%	Tottenham	4	-	0	Wolfsberg	< 1%	2%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
6%	Arsenal	0	-	2	Benfica	94%	3%
19%	Arsenal	1	-	2	Benfica	81%	3%
28%	Arsenal	0	-	1	Benfica	72%	11%
56%	Arsenal	1	-	1	Benfica	44%	12%
72%	Arsenal	0	-	0	Benfica	28%	21%
80%	Arsenal	2	-	1	Benfica	20%	6%
86%	Arsenal	1	-	0	Benfica	14%	21%
95%	Arsenal	2	-	0	Benfica	5%	11%
95%	Arsenal	3	-	1	Benfica	5%	2%
99%	Arsenal	3	-	0	Benfica	< 1%	4%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
54%	Villarreal	0	-	2	Salzburg	46%	4%
79%	Villarreal	1	-	2	Salzburg	21%	3%
85%	Villarreal	0	-	1	Salzburg	15%	12%
95%	Villarreal	1	-	1	Salzburg	5%	12%
96%	Villarreal	0	-	0	Salzburg	4%	21%
99%	Villarreal	1	-	0	Salzburg	< 1%	21%
99%	Villarreal	2	-	1	Salzburg	< 1%	6%
100%	Villarreal	2	-	0	Salzburg	< 1%	10%
100%	Villarreal	3	-	1	Salzburg	< 1%	2%
100%	Villarreal	3	-	0	Salzburg	< 1%	3%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
51%	Rangers	0	-	2	Antwerp	49%	2%
83%	Rangers	1	-	2	Antwerp	17%	3%
84%	Rangers	0	-	1	Antwerp	16%	10%
96%	Rangers	1	-	1	Antwerp	4%	11%
97%	Rangers	0	-	0	Antwerp	3%	20%
99%	Rangers	2	-	1	Antwerp	< 1%	6%
99%	Rangers	1	-	0	Antwerp	< 1%	22%
100%	Rangers	3	-	1	Antwerp	< 1%	2%
100%	Rangers	2	-	0	Antwerp	< 1%	12%
100%	Rangers	3	-	0	Antwerp	< 1%	5%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
26%	Ajax	0	-	2	Lille	74%	4%
53%	Ajax	1	-	2	Lille	47%	4%
70%	Ajax	0	-	1	Lille	30%	13%
84%	Ajax	1	-	1	Lille	16%	12%
92%	Ajax	0	-	0	Lille	8%	21%
95%	Ajax	2	-	1	Lille	5%	6%
96%	Ajax	1	-	0	Lille	4%	20%
99%	Ajax	2	-	0	Lille	< 1%	10%
99%	Ajax	3	-	1	Lille	< 1%	2%
100%	Ajax	3	-	0	Lille	< 1%	3%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
63%	Shakhtar	0	-	2	M Tel Aviv	37%	2%
86%	Shakhtar	1	-	2	M Tel Aviv	14%	2%
89%	Shakhtar	0	-	1	M Tel Aviv	11%	9%
97%	Shakhtar	1	-	1	M Tel Aviv	3%	10%
98%	Shakhtar	0	-	0	M Tel Aviv	2%	19%
100%	Shakhtar	1	-	0	M Tel Aviv	< 1%	23%
100%	Shakhtar	2	-	1	M Tel Aviv	< 1%	6%
100%	Shakhtar	2	-	0	M Tel Aviv	< 1%	14%
100%	Shakhtar	3	-	1	M Tel Aviv	< 1%	3%
100%	Shakhtar	3	-	0	M Tel Aviv	< 1%	6%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
22%	Hoffenheim	0	-	2	Molde	78%	2%
49%	Hoffenheim	1	-	2	Molde	51%	3%
53%	Hoffenheim	0	-	1	Molde	47%	9%
84%	Hoffenheim	1	-	1	Molde	16%	11%
85%	Hoffenheim	0	-	0	Molde	15%	19%
95%	Hoffenheim	2	-	1	Molde	5%	6%
97%	Hoffenheim	1	-	0	Molde	3%	23%
98%	Hoffenheim	3	-	1	Molde	2%	2%
99%	Hoffenheim	2	-	0	Molde	< 1%	13%
100%	Hoffenheim	3	-	0	Molde	< 1%	5%

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
< 1%	Napoli	0	-	2	Granada	100%	3%
1%	Napoli	0	-	1	Granada	99%	12%
1%	Napoli	1	-	2	Granada	99%	3%
5%	Napoli	1	-	1	Granada	95%	12%
10%	Napoli	0	-	0	Granada	90%	21%
18%	Napoli	2	-	1	Granada	82%	6%
27%	Napoli	1	-	0	Granada	73%	21%
45%	Napoli	3	-	1	Granada	55%	2%
55%	Napoli	2	-	0	Granada	45%	10%
80%	Napoli	3	-	0	Granada	20%	3%