CL: Liverpool vs Leipzig and PSG vs Barca

Leipzig turn around the 0-2 deficit in only 7% of the simulations.  They need to keep it tied at halftime to have any chance.

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
54%	Liverpool	0	-	2	RB Leipzig	46%	4%
79%	Liverpool	1	-	2	RB Leipzig	21%	3%
84%	Liverpool	0	-	1	RB Leipzig	16%	12%
95%	Liverpool	1	-	1	RB Leipzig	5%	12%
96%	Liverpool	0	-	0	RB Leipzig	4%	21%
99%	Liverpool	1	-	0	RB Leipzig	< 1%	21%
99%	Liverpool	2	-	1	RB Leipzig	< 1%	6%
100%	Liverpool	2	-	0	RB Leipzig	< 1%	10%
100%	Liverpool	3	-	1	RB Leipzig	< 1%	2%
100%	Liverpool	3	-	0	RB Leipzig	< 1%	3%

 

Barcelona turn around their 1-4 loss in 2% of the simulations. They, obviously, need to score four goals to turn things around and need to score at least take the lead in the first 45 minutes to have a chance in the 2nd half.

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
90%	Paris SG	0	-	2	Barcelona	10%	5%
95%	Paris SG	1	-	2	Barcelona	5%	4%
98%	Paris SG	0	-	1	Barcelona	2%	15%
98%	Paris SG	2	-	2	Barcelona	2%	2%
99%	Paris SG	1	-	1	Barcelona	< 1%	12%
100%	Paris SG	0	-	0	Barcelona	< 1%	22%
100%	Paris SG	2	-	1	Barcelona	< 1%	5%
100%	Paris SG	1	-	0	Barcelona	< 1%	18%
100%	Paris SG	2	-	0	Barcelona	< 1%	8%
100%	Paris SG	3	-	0	Barcelona	< 1%	2%

 

Team	QF	Semi	Final	Champion
Man City	98%	70%	49%	30%
Bayern	100%	70%	47%	28%
Liverpool	93%	49%	24%	10%
Real Madrid	82%	42%	20%	9%
Paris SG	98%	44%	18%	7%
Chelsea	72%	32%	13%	5%
Dortmund	100%	36%	11%	4%
Atletico	28%	14%	6%	3%
Porto	100%	31%	9%	3%
Atalanta	18%	7%	2%	< 1%
RB Leipzig	7%	3%	1%	< 1%
Barcelona	2%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
Gladbach	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Lazio	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%