Tuesday, March 9, 2021

CL: Juventus vs Porto and Dortmund vs Sevilla

 Porto have a 2-1 in the back from the leg in Portugal. Here are the probability given different standings after 1st half


ChanceTeamResultTeamChanceProbability

1%Juventus0-2Porto99%3%
5%Juventus1-2Porto95%3%
10%Juventus0-1Porto90%12%
27%Juventus1-1Porto73%12%
40%Juventus0-0Porto60%21%
54%Juventus2-1Porto46%6%
71%Juventus1-0Porto29%21%
79%Juventus3-1Porto21%2%
85%Juventus2-0Porto15%10%
95%Juventus3-0Porto5%3%

 Dortmund won the 1st leg in Seville. They need to have the lead after 1st half, to have a descent chance.

ChanceTeamResultTeamChanceProbability

34%Dortmund0-2Sevilla66%5%
66%Dortmund1-2Sevilla34%4%
73%Dortmund0-1Sevilla27%15%
81%Dortmund2-2Sevilla19%2%
90%Dortmund1-1Sevilla10%12%
93%Dortmund0-0Sevilla7%22%
95%Dortmund2-1Sevilla5%5%
98%Dortmund1-0Sevilla2%19%
99%Dortmund2-0Sevilla< 1%8%
100%Dortmund3-0Sevilla< 1%2%

 

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