Porto have a 2-1 in the back from the leg in Portugal. Here are the probability given different standings after 1st half
| Chance | Team | Result | Team | Chance | Probability | ||||
| 1% | Juventus | 0 | - | 2 | Porto | 99% | 3% | ||
| 5% | Juventus | 1 | - | 2 | Porto | 95% | 3% | ||
| 10% | Juventus | 0 | - | 1 | Porto | 90% | 12% | ||
| 27% | Juventus | 1 | - | 1 | Porto | 73% | 12% | ||
| 40% | Juventus | 0 | - | 0 | Porto | 60% | 21% | ||
| 54% | Juventus | 2 | - | 1 | Porto | 46% | 6% | ||
| 71% | Juventus | 1 | - | 0 | Porto | 29% | 21% | ||
| 79% | Juventus | 3 | - | 1 | Porto | 21% | 2% | ||
| 85% | Juventus | 2 | - | 0 | Porto | 15% | 10% | ||
| 95% | Juventus | 3 | - | 0 | Porto | 5% | 3% | ||
Dortmund won the 1st leg in Seville. They need to have the lead after 1st half, to have a descent chance.
| Chance | Team | Result | Team | Chance | Probability | ||||
| 34% | Dortmund | 0 | - | 2 | Sevilla | 66% | 5% | ||
| 66% | Dortmund | 1 | - | 2 | Sevilla | 34% | 4% | ||
| 73% | Dortmund | 0 | - | 1 | Sevilla | 27% | 15% | ||
| 81% | Dortmund | 2 | - | 2 | Sevilla | 19% | 2% | ||
| 90% | Dortmund | 1 | - | 1 | Sevilla | 10% | 12% | ||
| 93% | Dortmund | 0 | - | 0 | Sevilla | 7% | 22% | ||
| 95% | Dortmund | 2 | - | 1 | Sevilla | 5% | 5% | ||
| 98% | Dortmund | 1 | - | 0 | Sevilla | 2% | 19% | ||
| 99% | Dortmund | 2 | - | 0 | Sevilla | < 1% | 8% | ||
| 100% | Dortmund | 3 | - | 0 | Sevilla | < 1% | 2% | ||
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