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The three English teams are now favourites. An English team wins EL in more than 50% of the simulations.
Two ties are still very uncertain: Man United traveling to Milan to turn around a 1-1 draw from Old Trafford; and Slavia Praha traveling to Glasgow to turn around a 1-1 draw from home.
| Team | QF | Semi | Final | Champion |
| Arsenal | 97% | 58% | 33% | 18% |
| Tottenham | 93% | 55% | 32% | 17% |
| Man United | 53% | 37% | 26% | 16% |
| Ajax | 96% | 50% | 25% | 12% |
| Villarreal | 95% | 48% | 23% | 11% |
| Roma | 93% | 45% | 21% | 9% |
| Milan | 47% | 24% | 12% | 6% |
| Granada | 91% | 31% | 10% | 4% |
| Rangers | 58% | 22% | 8% | 3% |
| Slavia Praha | 42% | 16% | 6% | 2% |
| Shakhtar | 7% | 3% | 2% | < 1% |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 7% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Young Boys | 4% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Olympiakos | 3% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 5% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Molde | 9% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% |
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