PL: Matchday 29

 

Simulated points for winner: 86 - 91
Simulated points for fourth: 66 - 69
Simulated points for 17th team: 36 - 39

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
71	Man City	88.4	+54	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	100%	99.87%
57	Man United	73.6	+31	< 1%	99.95%	99.76%	99.09%	97.2%	< 1%
56	Leicester	69.2	+22	< 1%	99.01%	96.4%	91%	79%	< 1%
51	Chelsea	66.9	+25	< 1%	96.2%	90%	79%	61%	< 1%
46	Liverpool	63.3	+20	< 1%	82%	64%	43%	21%	< 1%
48	West Ham	63.2	+12	< 1%	75%	57%	38%	21%	< 1%
45	Tottenham	61.6	+21	< 1%	67%	47%	28%	14%	< 1%
46	Everton	60.0	+3	< 1%	43%	25%	13%	4.6%	< 1%
41	Arsenal	58.0	+13	< 1%	28%	15%	7%	2.4%	< 1%
41	Aston Villa	54.8	+9	< 1%	10%	4.7%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%
35	Wolves	49.0	-8	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
36	Leeds	48.1	-6	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
37	Crystal Palace	46.0	-22	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
33	Southampton	45.1	-16	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
33	Burnley	44.3	-17	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
29	Brighton	39.7	-13	12%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
28	Newcastle	38.5	-23	25%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	Fulham	35.1	-20	60%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
18	West Brom	25.0	-47	99.86%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
14	Sheffield United	23.0	-40	99.92%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Fulham	43%	24%	33%	Leeds
Brighton	50%	23%	27%	Newcastle
West Ham	44%	24%	32%	Arsenal
Aston Villa	38%	24%	38%	Tottenham