World Cup: European qualifications

European qualifications are played in ten groups. The nine group winners qualify directly and runner-ups play playoff with two teams from Nations League. The twelve playoff teams are divided into three playoffs and do-or-die semifinal and finals are played to select three more teams.

 

EUROPE

Team	Group	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Belgium	E	9%	90%	10%	8%	6%	96%
Spain	B	13%	86%	14%	11%	8%	94%
France	D	13%	84%	16%	12%	9%	94%
Netherlands	G	11%	86%	11%	9%	6%	93%
Germany	J	14%	83%	14%	9%	6%	89%
Portugal	A	15%	81%	15%	11%	8%	89%
England	I	17%	80%	17%	11%	8%	87%
Denmark	F	22%	71%	22%	13%	8%	79%
Italy	C	36%	57%	43%	30%	20%	77%
Croatia	H	24%	63%	24%	16%	10%	73%
Switzerland	C	48%	40%	48%	31%	19%	59%
Austria	F	47%	21%	77%	36%	16%	37%
Sweden	B	69%	13%	69%	38%	20%	34%
Russia	H	37%	21%	37%	19%	9%	30%
Ukraine	D	53%	12%	53%	30%	16%	28%
Poland	I	53%	16%	53%	25%	12%	27%
Wales	E	44%	5%	95%	45%	20%	25%
Serbia	A	48%	12%	48%	25%	12%	24%
Czechia	E	42%	5%	91%	43%	19%	24%
Romania	J	51%	12%	51%	24%	10%	22%
Turkey	G	53%	9%	53%	26%	12%	21%
Slovakia	H	30%	14%	30%	14%	6%	20%
Ireland	A	36%	7%	36%	17%	7%	14%
Hungary	I	22%	4%	65%	22%	7%	11%
Norway	G	30%	4%	30%	13%	5%	9%
Scotland	F	21%	5%	21%	7%	2%	8%
Iceland	J	26%	4%	26%	10%	3%	7%
Bosnia/Herzeg	D	19%	2%	19%	8%	3%	6%
Slovenia	H	9%	2%	23%	8%	2%	5%
Northern Ireland	C	12%	3%	12%	5%	2%	5%
Finland	D	15%	2%	15%	6%	2%	4%
Israel	F	11%	2%	11%	3%	< 1%	3%
Albania	I	8%	< 1%	8%	2%	< 1%	1%
Bulgaria	C	4%	< 1%	4%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
Kosovo	B	7%	< 1%	7%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
Montenegro	G	6%	< 1%	7%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
North Macedonia	J	5%	< 1%	5%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
Greece	B	6%	< 1%	6%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
Georgia	B	5%	< 1%	5%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
Armenia	J	4%	< 1%	4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Belarus	E	4%	< 1%	4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Estonia	E	1%	< 1%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Cyprus	H	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Azerbaijan	A	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Kazakhstan	D	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Luxembourg	A	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Moldova	F	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Lithuania	C	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Faroe Islands	F	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Malta	H	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Latvia	G	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Gibraltar	G	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Andorra	I	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Liechtenstein	J	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group A
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Portugal	0	0	19.7	15%	81%	15%	11%	8%	89%
Serbia	0	0	14.6	48%	12%	48%	25%	12%	24%
Ireland	0	0	13.5	36%	7%	36%	17%	7%	14%
Azerbaijan	0	0	4.98	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Luxembourg	0	0	4.3	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group B
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Spain	0	0	19.8	13%	86%	14%	11%	8%	94%
Sweden	0	0	14.5	69%	13%	69%	38%	20%	34%
Kosovo	0	0	7.67	7%	< 1%	7%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
Greece	0	0	7.26	6%	< 1%	6%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
Georgia	0	0	7.21	5%	< 1%	5%	1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group C
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Italy	0	0	17.9	36%	57%	43%	30%	20%	77%
Switzerland	0	0	16.8	48%	40%	48%	31%	19%	59%
Northern Ireland	0	0	10.8	12%	3%	12%	5%	2%	5%
Bulgaria	0	0	8.4	4%	< 1%	4%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
Lithuania	0	0	2.96	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group D
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
France	0	0	19.4	13%	84%	16%	12%	9%	94%
Ukraine	0	0	13.8	53%	12%	53%	30%	16%	28%
Bosnia/Herzeg	0	0	10.4	19%	2%	19%	8%	3%	6%
Finland	0	0	9.79	15%	2%	15%	6%	2%	4%
Kazakhstan	0	0	3.25	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group E
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Belgium	0	0	20.1	9%	90%	10%	8%	6%	96%
Wales	0	0	12.7	44%	5%	95%	45%	20%	25%
Czechia	0	0	12.5	42%	5%	91%	43%	19%	24%
Belarus	0	0	6.7	4%	< 1%	4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Estonia	0	0	4.71	1%	< 1%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group F
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Denmark	0	0	23.5	22%	71%	22%	13%	8%	79%
Austria	0	0	19.7	47%	21%	77%	36%	16%	37%
Scotland	0	0	16.3	21%	5%	21%	7%	2%	8%
Israel	0	0	14.5	11%	2%	11%	3%	< 1%	3%
Moldova	0	0	6.4	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Faroe Islands	0	0	4.76	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group G
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Netherlands	0	0	25.8	11%	86%	11%	9%	6%	93%
Turkey	0	0	19.7	53%	9%	53%	26%	12%	21%
Norway	0	0	17.9	30%	4%	30%	13%	5%	9%
Montenegro	0	0	13.5	6%	< 1%	7%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
Latvia	0	0	5.9	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Gibraltar	0	0	3.22	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group H
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Croatia	0	0	22.6	24%	63%	24%	16%	10%	73%
Russia	0	0	19.2	37%	21%	37%	19%	9%	30%
Slovakia	0	0	18.1	30%	14%	30%	14%	6%	20%
Slovenia	0	0	14.3	9%	2%	23%	8%	2%	5%
Cyprus	0	0	7.89	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Malta	0	0	3.13	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group I
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
England	0	0	25.3	17%	80%	17%	11%	8%	87%
Poland	0	0	20.8	53%	16%	53%	25%	12%	27%
Hungary	0	0	17.8	22%	4%	65%	22%	7%	11%
Albania	0	0	15.4	8%	< 1%	8%	2%	< 1%	1%
Andorra	0	0	5.45	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
San Marino	0	0	1.83	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group J
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Germany	0	0	24.5	14%	83%	14%	9%	6%	89%
Romania	0	0	18.7	51%	12%	51%	24%	10%	22%
Iceland	0	0	16.2	26%	4%	26%	10%	3%	7%
North Macedonia	0	0	12	5%	< 1%	5%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
Armenia	0	0	11.3	4%	< 1%	4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Liechtenstein	0	0	2.67	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The two teams with best NL rank (among NL group winners) that do not finish top-2 in their group get a spot in the playoff.

Nation League Group Winners

NL Rank	Country	Group	NL spot	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
1	France	D	3%	13%	84%	16%	12%	9%	94%
2	Belgium	E	2%	9%	90%	10%	8%	6%	96%
3	Italy	C	7%	36%	57%	43%	30%	20%	77%
4	Spain	B	< 1%	13%	86%	14%	11%	8%	94%
5	Wales	E	50%	44%	5%	95%	45%	20%	25%
6	Austria	F	30%	47%	21%	77%	36%	16%	37%
7	Czechia	E	49%	42%	5%	91%	43%	19%	24%
8	Hungary	I	42%	22%	4%	65%	22%	7%	11%
9	Slovenia	H	13%	9%	2%	23%	8%	2%	5%
10	Montenegro	G	2%	6%	< 1%	7%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Albania	I	< 1%	8%	< 1%	8%	2%	< 1%	1%
12	Armenia	J	< 1%	4%	< 1%	4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
13	Gibraltar	G	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
14	Faroe Islands	F	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%