CL: Predictions after 1st leg

 Predictions after 1st leg:

Team	Semi	Final	Champion
Man City	81%	56%	36%
Real Madrid	79%	43%	19%
Chelsea	94%	44%	18%
Paris SG	75%	24%	11%
Bayern	25%	13%	9%
Liverpool	21%	11%	5%
Dortmund	19%	7%	3%
Porto	6%	2%	< 1%

 

Below are the estimated chances given different scores after 1st half of the 2nd leg next week.

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
5%	Paris SG	0	-	3	Bayern	95%	2%
26%	Paris SG	0	-	2	Bayern	74%	7%
58%	Paris SG	1	-	2	Bayern	42%	5%
64%	Paris SG	0	-	1	Bayern	36%	18%
75%	Paris SG	2	-	2	Bayern	25%	2%
86%	Paris SG	1	-	1	Bayern	14%	12%
88%	Paris SG	0	-	0	Bayern	12%	22%
93%	Paris SG	2	-	1	Bayern	7%	4%
96%	Paris SG	1	-	0	Bayern	4%	15%
98%	Paris SG	2	-	0	Bayern	2%	5%

 

 

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
56%	Chelsea	0	-	2	Porto	44%	3%
81%	Chelsea	1	-	2	Porto	19%	3%
86%	Chelsea	0	-	1	Porto	14%	11%
96%	Chelsea	1	-	1	Porto	4%	12%
97%	Chelsea	0	-	0	Porto	3%	21%
99%	Chelsea	1	-	0	Porto	< 1%	21%
99%	Chelsea	2	-	1	Porto	< 1%	6%
100%	Chelsea	2	-	0	Porto	< 1%	11%
100%	Chelsea	3	-	1	Porto	< 1%	2%
100%	Chelsea	3	-	0	Porto	< 1%	4%

 

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
< 1%	Dortmund	0	-	3	Man City	100%	3%
< 1%	Dortmund	0	-	2	Man City	100%	9%
1%	Dortmund	1	-	2	Man City	99%	6%
4%	Dortmund	0	-	1	Man City	96%	20%
6%	Dortmund	2	-	2	Man City	94%	2%
15%	Dortmund	1	-	1	Man City	85%	12%
22%	Dortmund	0	-	0	Man City	78%	22%
37%	Dortmund	2	-	1	Man City	63%	4%
53%	Dortmund	1	-	0	Man City	47%	14%
72%	Dortmund	2	-	0	Man City	28%	4%

 

Chance	Team	Result			Team	Chance	Probability
< 1%	Liverpool	0	-	2	Real Madrid	100%	5%
< 1%	Liverpool	1	-	2	Real Madrid	99%	4%
2%	Liverpool	0	-	1	Real Madrid	98%	14%
3%	Liverpool	2	-	2	Real Madrid	97%	2%
8%	Liverpool	1	-	1	Real Madrid	92%	12%
12%	Liverpool	0	-	0	Real Madrid	88%	22%
23%	Liverpool	2	-	1	Real Madrid	77%	5%
35%	Liverpool	1	-	0	Real Madrid	65%	19%
66%	Liverpool	2	-	0	Real Madrid	34%	8%
81%	Liverpool	3	-	0	Real Madrid	19%	2%