Monday, April 5, 2021

PL: Pedictions with eight matches to go

 Simulated points for winner: 87 - 92
Simulated points for fourth: 66 - 68
Simulated points for 17th team: 35 - 38



Average Simulated
Season
Probabilities
PtsTeamPtsGDRelegatedTop 7Top 6Top 5Top 4Win League
74Man City89.5+55< 1%100%100%100%100%99.93%
60Man United74.9+31< 1%>99.99%99.94%99.69%98.9%< 1%
56Leicester68.4+21< 1%98.9%95%87%74%< 1%
51Chelsea65.0+21< 1%92%78%59%38%< 1%
49Liverpool64.7+23< 1%92%79%60%36%< 1%
52West Ham64.5+13< 1%88%70%50%31%< 1%
49Tottenham62.6+23< 1%79%56%35%18%< 1%
47Everton59.0+2< 1%31%15%7%2.5%< 1%
42Arsenal56.6+11< 1%14%5%1.6%< 1%< 1%
44Aston Villa53.9+7< 1%5%1.8%< 1%< 1%< 1%
42Leeds51.0-5< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
35Wolves47.0-10< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
38Crystal Palace46.3-21< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
36Southampton46.2-16< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
33Burnley43.7-17< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
32Brighton40.7-101.7%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
29Newcastle36.9-2422%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
26Fulham32.7-2276%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
21West Brom27.5-4299.0%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
14Sheffield United21.9-4099.95%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%


Coming Matches
Home
Draw
Away
Fulham36%24%39%Wolves
Man City80%13%7%Leeds
Liverpool70%17%13%Aston Villa
Crystal Palace28%23%49%Chelsea
Burnley57%22%21%Newcastle
West Ham46%24%30%Leicester
Tottenham39%24%37%Man United
Sheffield United25%23%52%Arsenal
West Brom35%24%41%Southampton
Brighton42%24%34%Everton



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