EL: West Ham and Napoli remain favourites.

West Ham and Napoli remain favourites.

		Chance in Group		Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	2nd	1st	Last 24	Last 16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
H	West Ham	18%	73%	91%	84%	54%	33%	19%	10%
C	Napoli	32%	57%	89%	75%	46%	27%	15%	7%
	Atletico			28%	23%	18%	13%	9%	5%
C	Leicester	47%	36%	83%	62%	38%	21%	11%	5%
	Man United			21%	18%	15%	11%	8%	5%
	Barcelona			24%	20%	16%	11%	8%	4.9%
	Paris SG			34%	27%	19%	13%	8%	4.7%
G	Leverkusen	37%	50%	87%	68%	36%	18%	8%	3.5%
B	Sociedad	29%	46%	75%	60%	33%	17%	8%	3.3%
	RB Leipzig			41%	30%	20%	12%	6%	3.3%
	Liverpool			11%	10%	8%	6%	4.8%	3.2%
D	Frankfurt	37%	38%	75%	56%	30%	14%	6%	2.7%
	Atalanta			24%	18%	13%	8%	4.8%	2.6%
G	Betis	40%	44%	84%	62%	31%	14%	6%	2.5%
	Sevilla			20%	16%	11%	7%	4.4%	2.5%
	Inter			13%	11%	8%	6%	4.0%	2.4%
E	Lazio	28%	39%	68%	53%	27%	13%	5%	2.3%
	Villarreal			28%	20%	13%	8%	4.3%	2.2%
	Milan			29%	21%	14%	8%	4.3%	2.2%
A	Lyon	17%	76%	93%	83%	36%	15%	6%	2.1%
	Porto			32%	23%	14%	8%	4.1%	2.0%
	Benfica			47%	31%	18%	9%	4.3%	1.9%
D	Olympiakos	32%	50%	82%	63%	28%	11%	4.3%	1.6%
	Man City			4.0%	3.6%	3.2%	2.7%	2.1%	1.5%
	Wolfsburg			28%	19%	12%	6%	3.0%	1.4%
	Sporting			59%	36%	19%	9%	3.5%	1.4%
	Dortmund			12%	9%	7%	4.1%	2.4%	1.3%
	Juventus			11%	8%	6%	3.7%	2.2%	1.2%
	Chelsea			4.7%	4.0%	3.3%	2.5%	1.8%	1.1%
	Salzburg			25%	17%	10%	5%	2.4%	1.1%
	Bayern			2.1%	1.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.1%	< 1%
	Shakhtar			52%	29%	14%	6%	2.1%	< 1%
B	PSV	30%	20%	50%	32%	14%	6%	2.0%	< 1%
	Ajax			9%	6%	4.1%	2.4%	1.3%	< 1%
B	Monaco	30%	30%	60%	41%	16%	6%	1.9%	< 1%
	Lille			27%	16%	8%	3.5%	1.4%	< 1%
	Zenit			56%	29%	13%	4.6%	1.5%	< 1%
	Real Madrid			1.7%	1.5%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Young Boys			27%	15%	7%	2.9%	1.0%	< 1%
A	Rangers	42%	11%	53%	25%	10%	3.4%	1.0%	< 1%
F	Braga	29%	24%	53%	33%	11%	3.4%	< 1%	< 1%
	Dynamo Kyiv			27%	14%	6%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Marseille	25%	23%	48%	31%	10%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Crvena Zvezda	28%	43%	71%	51%	14%	3.6%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Dinamo Zagreb	33%	12%	46%	22%	8%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%
	Brugge			22%	10%	3.8%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Galatasaray	29%	26%	54%	32%	8%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Midtjylland	22%	18%	40%	23%	6%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Rapid Wien	27%	9%	36%	16%	4.6%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Lok Moskva	18%	12%	30%	17%	4.5%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Malmoe			29%	12%	3.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Sparta Praha	28%	10%	38%	17%	4.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Genk	21%	6%	28%	11%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Razgrad	21%	15%	36%	19%	3.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Sturm Graz	11%	4.2%	15%	7%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Besiktas			21%	7%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Fenerbahce	20%	8%	28%	12%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Celtic	13%	3.7%	17%	7%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Legia	17%	6%	24%	9%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Ferencvaros	10%	2.3%	12%	4.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Antwerp	11%	3.4%	15%	5%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Brondby	13%	3.3%	16%	5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Sheriff Tiraspol			34%	7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Spartak Moskva	3.1%	< 1%	3.8%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%