EL: West Ham, Barcelona, Napoli and Man United favorites

West Ham, Barcelona, Napoli and Man United are favorites in Europa League.

		Chance in Group		Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	2nd	1st	Last 24	Last 16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
H	West Ham	7%	92%	98.6%	95.9%	61%	38%	22%	12%
	Barcelona			45%	38%	30%	22%	15%	10%
C	Napoli	25%	41%	66%	55%	34%	20%	11%	5%
	Man United			17%	15%	12%	9%	6%	4.1%
G	Leverkusen	43%	54%	97.3%	76%	40%	20%	9%	3.9%
C	Leicester	32%	27%	59%	45%	27%	15%	8%	3.8%
	Atletico			18%	15%	12%	8%	6%	3.5%
	Inter			18%	15%	12%	8%	6%	3.4%
D	Frankfurt	48%	41%	88%	64%	34%	17%	7%	3.2%
E	Lazio	27%	53%	81%	66%	35%	16%	7%	2.9%
G	Betis	50%	45%	95.8%	69%	36%	16%	7%	2.8%
B	Sociedad	34%	30%	64%	47%	26%	13%	6%	2.7%
	Man City			7%	6%	6%	4.6%	3.7%	2.7%
	Milan			35%	25%	17%	10%	5%	2.6%
	Porto			42%	30%	18%	10%	5%	2.6%
	Villarreal			32%	23%	15%	9%	4.9%	2.5%
	Sevilla			20%	16%	11%	7%	4.4%	2.4%
	Atalanta			22%	17%	12%	7%	4.4%	2.4%
	RB Leipzig			29%	21%	14%	8%	4.5%	2.3%
A	Lyon	15%	82%	96.4%	88%	39%	16%	6%	2.3%
	Chelsea			10%	8%	7%	5%	3.6%	2.3%
	Paris SG			15%	12%	9%	6%	3.7%	2.1%
	Real Madrid			8%	7%	5%	4.1%	3.0%	1.9%
D	Olympiakos	38%	57%	95%	73%	32%	13%	5%	1.9%
	Sporting			69%	43%	22%	10%	4.1%	1.7%
	Wolfsburg			33%	23%	14%	7%	3.6%	1.6%
	Benfica			33%	22%	13%	7%	3.1%	1.4%
B	PSV	31%	37%	68%	50%	22%	9%	3.1%	1.2%
	Liverpool			4.3%	3.7%	3.1%	2.4%	1.8%	1.2%
	Salzburg			22%	15%	9%	4.5%	2.1%	< 1%
	Juventus			7%	5%	3.7%	2.4%	1.4%	< 1%
B	Monaco	30%	32%	62%	43%	17%	6%	2.0%	< 1%
	Zenit			74%	39%	17%	6%	1.9%	< 1%
	Bayern			1.4%	1.3%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Lille			25%	15%	7%	3.3%	1.3%	< 1%
	Dortmund			4.1%	3.1%	2.2%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
	Young Boys			29%	16%	8%	3.1%	1.1%	< 1%
F	Braga	43%	27%	70%	41%	14%	4.3%	1.2%	< 1%
	Ajax			4.3%	3.1%	2.1%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
	Shakhtar			20%	12%	5%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Crvena Zvezda	27%	61%	88%	68%	20%	5.0%	1.1%	< 1%
	Brugge			49%	23%	9%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%
	Dynamo Kyiv			20%	10%	4.5%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Dinamo Zagreb	58%	4.8%	63%	23%	8%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Marseille	23%	14%	37%	21%	7%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Rangers	27%	3.0%	30%	13%	5.0%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Galatasaray	34%	25%	59%	33%	8%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Sparta Praha	48%	15%	62%	26%	7%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Midtjylland	16%	8%	24%	12%	3.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Lok Moskva	17%	7%	24%	12%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Legia	32%	27%	59%	33%	6%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Genk	22%	3.1%	25%	9%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Rapid Wien	13%	< 1%	14%	4.1%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Malmoe			10%	4.2%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Besiktas			22%	8%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Razgrad	14%	4.0%	18%	7%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Sturm Graz	4.5%	1.1%	6%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Spartak Moskva	11%	5%	16%	7%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Fenerbahce	10%	1.5%	12%	3.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Celtic	4.0%	< 1%	4.3%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Antwerp	4.5%	< 1%	4.9%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Brondby	11%	< 1%	12%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Sheriff Tiraspol			54%	10%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Ferencvaros	2.4%	< 1%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%